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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,705 posts)
Tue Jul 16, 2019, 09:07 AM Jul 2019

****Brand New CA Poll (Capitol Weekly)**** EW 25% KH 20% JB 20% BS 16% MP 8%





New CA Poll (Capitol Weekly)
Warren 25
Harris 20
Biden 20
Sanders 16
Buttigieg 8
No one else above 2

Harris is 2nd choice for every candidate’s voters except Sanders, whose second choice is Warren.

https://capitolweekly.net/our-political-polling-shifts-into-high-gear-for-2020/




I post all the polls I can find without favor or prejudice. If you have a problem with the poll, it's methodology, or accessibility please share it with the entity that published it. Thank you in advance.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
14 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
 

JI7

(89,182 posts)
1. i wonder if Washington state and Oregon are similar numbers
Tue Jul 16, 2019, 09:17 AM
Jul 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

marlakay

(11,370 posts)
14. Last poll i saw Bernie was in the lead
Tue Jul 16, 2019, 07:18 PM
Jul 2019

He won Oregon last time. I didn’t check WA.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

ucrdem

(15,512 posts)
2. LA Times/Berkeley and Quinnipiac both show Biden leading
Tue Jul 16, 2019, 09:24 AM
Jul 2019

but those were in April and June. CA went for Hillary in the 2016 primary and Harris is from CA so this one is going to be close.



https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/ca/california_democratic_primary-6879.html

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

bluewater

(5,376 posts)
7. In very old polls...
Tue Jul 16, 2019, 10:44 AM
Jul 2019

Here's what Capitol Weekly's Tracking poll looks like:



https://capitolweekly.net/our-political-polling-shifts-into-high-gear-for-2020/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

ucrdem

(15,512 posts)
9. Not exactly a pattern but here's what I predict:
Tue Jul 16, 2019, 10:52 AM
Jul 2019

So Cal will go to Joe and that will put him over; No Cal will split with either Harris or Warren leading and Joe at #2. But CA has proportional delegates, not winner-take-all, so winning isn't ALL that important though it counts for a lot.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

FBaggins

(26,697 posts)
3. The day after Super Tuesday could see a wide open race
Tue Jul 16, 2019, 10:09 AM
Jul 2019

With three (or in this case four) candidates splitting delegates from many of those states (and not always the same 3/4), we could easily see no candidate close to 50% of committed delegates.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

Skya Rhen

(2,701 posts)
8. Most of the red states' delegates will go solely to Joe, which will give him the edge...
Tue Jul 16, 2019, 10:47 AM
Jul 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

smooth64

(58 posts)
4. Harris will win CA because
Tue Jul 16, 2019, 10:31 AM
Jul 2019

The CA democratic Party machine will be behind her

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

ucrdem

(15,512 posts)
5. There really isn't one like in other states
Tue Jul 16, 2019, 10:36 AM
Jul 2019

Feinstein has already endorsed Joe, most others are waiting like Garcetti, and Boxer publicly deplored Harris' debate performance. So I think there will probably be a split like in 2016, most going to Biden but a good chunk going to the other three, with Biden taking it. JMHO, YMMV!



p.s. this poll is by email so the numbers reflect those who respond to their email.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

bluewater

(5,376 posts)
6. Warren looking strong in California!
Tue Jul 16, 2019, 10:41 AM
Jul 2019

Sweet!

Warren getting a plurality in California would bode very well for the General Election.

Warren Campaign, this beer is for YOU!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,705 posts)
10. "Warren getting a plurality in California would bode very well for the General Election. "
Tue Jul 16, 2019, 10:55 AM
Jul 2019

California hasn't been in play in a generation.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

bluewater

(5,376 posts)
11. California, The Trendsetter.
Tue Jul 16, 2019, 11:08 AM
Jul 2019

Progressive employment laws and court decisions from the Golden State often influence state laws and company policies in the rest of the nation.

California gave the nation the Frisbee disc, McDonald's, the microchip, Silicon Valley and lots of employee-friendly laws. Employee rights that start in California spread to other states as quickly as plaintiffs' attorneys draft lawsuits and employee advocates get lawmakers' ears. Some novel moves, like paid family leave and mandatory sexual harassment training, come from the California legislature. Others, like standards on wrongful discharge and implied contracts, come from the courts.

While California doesn't set the pace in every law, most of the state's firsts carry implications for HR managers and employers nationwide. Especially for multistate organizations that conduct business in California, "the question is whether you want to extend the California protections to everyone or limit them to your employees in California," says Michael Lotito, SPHR, a partner in the San Francisco office of Jackson Lewis.

Furthermore, "when things happen in California, they're picked up and embraced throughout the country," adds Lynn Outwater, SPHR, a partner in the Pittsburgh office of Jackson Lewis.

https://shrm.org/hr-today/news/hr-magazine/Pages/1207cadrain.aspx

The views of California voters are trendsetting for the rest of the country.

Warren getting a plurality in California bodes well for her and her policies in the General Election

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,705 posts)
12. All that is true but the last time CA was in play at the presidential level was 1988
Tue Jul 16, 2019, 11:11 AM
Jul 2019

The real action and where the election will be won or lost will be in

PA
MI
WI
FL
NC
AZ
GA
TX

in that order, more or less.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Rstrstx

(1,393 posts)
13. You could probably add IA to that list
Tue Jul 16, 2019, 05:16 PM
Jul 2019

Trump's tariffs are hurting him there

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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