Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumHARRIS GETS BIG DEBATE BOUNCE WHILE BIDEN SINKS QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS;
FOR RELEASE: JULY 2, 2019
DESPITE DROP, BIDEN STILL SEEN AS BEST BET AGAINST TRUMP
After Democratic presidential contenders duked it out over two nights of debates, former Vice
President Joseph Biden hits his lowest number yet in the Democratic primary race with 22
percent of the vote among Democrats and Democratic leaners, virtually tied with California Sen.
Kamala Harris who has 20 percent of the vote. Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren follows at
14 percent, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders is at 13 percent, and South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg
gets 4 percent, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University National Poll released
today. No other candidate tops 3 percent.
https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us07022019_umfj23.pdf/
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
highplainsdem
(48,721 posts)As long as we're using the all-caps headline you're copying.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
gldstwmn
(4,575 posts)In todays poll, Biden has a numerical lead among men with 22 percent, followed by
Sanders at 19 percent and Harris with 14 percent. But among women, Harris has a slight edge
with 24 percent to Bidens 22 percent. The race is similarly close for white Democratic voters,
with Biden at 21 percent, and both Harris and Warren at 20 percent. Harris also essentially
catches Biden among black Democratic voters, a historically strong voting bloc for Biden, with
Biden at 31 percent and Harris at 27 percent.
Round 1 of the Democratic debates puts Senator Kamala Harris and former Vice
President Joe Biden on two different trajectories, as support for Harris surges but continues to
slip for Biden. Bidens once commanding lead has evaporated. There are other red flags for him
in areas where he still leads, including double digit drops among Democrats and Democratic
leaners who view him as the best leader, or as the best candidate to defeat President Trump in
2020, said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Mary Snow.
https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us07022019_umfj23.pdf/
Shall I keep going?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
gldstwmn
(4,575 posts)Quinnipiac University Poll/July 2, 2019 page 2
Democrats and Democratic leaners were also asked which candidate they thought had the
best chance of winning against President Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election,
regardless of who they support in the primary. Biden tops the field with 42 percent, which is a
drop from the 56 percent that he received on April 30. Harris comes in a distant second with 14
percent in todays poll, up from 2 percent in April. Sanders receives 13 percent, and no other
candidate reaches double digits.
When asked who would be the best leader, Biden again tops the field with 26 percent, an
18-point drop from the 44 percent he received the last time this question was asked. Harris
finishes second with 16 percent, up from 6 percent in April. Sanders and Warren are tied with 15
percent, while no other candidate reaches double digits.
In a question about which candidate has the best policy ideas, Warren takes the lead with
31 percent, compared to 19 percent in April. Sanders is next with 18 percent, while Biden
receives 11 percent, a drop from 23 percent in April. Harris is at 8 percent, and no other
candidate tops 3 percent.
When it comes to policy ideas, Senator Elizabeth Warren scores higher than any of the
Democratic presidential contenders. However, it didnt give her a boost in her overall numbers in
the primary race, Snow added.
https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us07022019_umfj23.pdf/
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
highplainsdem
(48,721 posts)and discussed at length in another OP, but this isn't the first time we've had multiple threads on the same poll here.
The person who posted the other OP posted a news article about it, but I linked to the Quinnipiac Poll link you're using here, and quoted excerpts of that, in a few of the replies there.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
gldstwmn
(4,575 posts)Forty percent of Democrats and Democratic leaning voters say they watched most of the
debates, while another 40 percent paid close attention to news stories about the debates. Of those
who did one or the other, 47 percent say Harris did the best job in the recent debates, followed by
Warren at 17 percent, Biden at 6 percent, and Sanders at 5 percent. When asked who did the
worst job in the debates, 16 percent of these voters say self-help author Marianne Williamson,
while Biden receives a nearly identical 15 percent.
From June 28 July 1, Quinnipiac University surveyed 554 Democrats and voters
leaning Democratic nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 5 percentage points, including the
design effect.
https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us07022019_umfj23.pdf/
That's gonna leave a mark.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
gldstwmn
(4,575 posts)that I linked to and most of it is not favorable to Biden's candidacy. I'm going to repeat just so there's no confusion that I don't dislike Biden personally. His campaign is a mess, his continual gaffes, his candidacy removed from public view, his antiquated politics and the fact that he will be nearly 80 at inauguration are extremely off putting for me. His comment about the NRA pretty much lost me for good. I don't remember his candidacy being so awful in previous election cycles. He is not an exciting candidate this time. He will not motivate people to get off the couch. I don't want to vote for him ever again. But I will if I have to.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
chimpymustgo
(12,774 posts)She combines knowledge, toughness, and a great personality. That equals ELECTABILITY!! FTW!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
gldstwmn
(4,575 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Skya Rhen
(2,701 posts)is the Suffolk University Iowa poll where Biden remained unchanged at 24% (since last month's polling). Harris switched places with Sanders and is now at 16%. So, Biden's lead remains at 8 points (since last month's polling).
The debate did not affect Joe in Iowa. Now, i am looking forward to seeing more Primary state polls and whether Harris is leading in places like Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Texas, Nevada and Florida (among other red states)... I have my predictions...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
gldstwmn
(4,575 posts)of a certain candidate not shoving that cadidate down everyone else's throat once that cadidate exits the race.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Skya Rhen
(2,701 posts)and many more others to come. So excited!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
gldstwmn
(4,575 posts)without dropping yet another bomb on his own canpaign.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Skya Rhen
(2,701 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
highplainsdem
(48,721 posts)See my replies there for some of the material from the press release from Quinnipiac, which I'd also linked to there.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)but, backlash!11!1!
Sid
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
gldstwmn
(4,575 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Buzz cook
(2,470 posts)Still its early days. Just as I think people read too much into Biden's early poll numbers, Senator Harris' boost in the polls is still just a small step to the nomination. Another candidate might get a similar boost from one good news cycle.
But still well done, Kamala Harris has proven she's a serious contender.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Butterflylady
(3,523 posts)She's the flavor of the week. Next debate it will be somebody else. That's the way it go for quite some time.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
gldstwmn
(4,575 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
stopbush
(24,376 posts)He simply did not prepare for that debate and now hes paying a heavy toll. His steep drop in the polls is very bad news. It doesnt matter if he still has a slight lead. Its the trend that counts. Black female Ds made a big shift toward Kamala post-debate. That erases a huge advantage Joe had up til now.
One mistake can be enough to change history (think of stepping on a landmine). Joe made a mistake that first debate, and the applecart has been upset.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
gldstwmn
(4,575 posts)This isn't the end for Biden's gaffes. It's just the beginning.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
FailureToCommunicate
(13,989 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
honest.abe
(8,556 posts)WOW huge bounce for KH!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DesertRat
(27,995 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Politicub
(12,163 posts)poll numbers, though. It's too early for polls to mean anything other than to qualify candidates for the debate stage.
With that being said, I find it hard to resist looking at polls.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
gldstwmn
(4,575 posts)caucus? Some of these other folks will be long gone by then which is a bummer because we have a stellar field. So now is the only time we get to see them. I watched Marianne Williams on CNN tonight and she was actually very good. I know she isn't everyone's cup of tea. I wonder how long she'll be in?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Politicub
(12,163 posts)to gauge who will be able to stay in the race. At some point, the less popular campaigns will run out of money.
Williamson does a great job of connecting ideas about policy to a greater purpose. I don't think she'll be in the race much longer since there's so much competition. But like you, I think she does well in interviews. She brings a unique perspective.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
gldstwmn
(4,575 posts)statement about healthcare. That being we need to fix what we can about what makes us all so unhealthy in the first place.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided