Latest Morning Consult Poll for 6/17, Smokin' Joe 38% (+1%)

[Kahuna7]

:large

[Skya Rhen]

1. Yay Joe! The clear front-runner!

[honest.abe]

2. Support for Biden is solid.

I really dont see how anyone can close that gap.

[DownriverDem]

3. VP

Biden/Harris would be a great ticket!

[honest.abe]

4. That is what I hope and expect to happen.

Killer combo!

[MineralMan]

5. This poll, like many others, shows that Biden's numbers are higher

than the total of the next three candidates combined. Anyone who does not recognize that as a major lead isn't paying attention.

[Kahuna7]

6. They keep throwing purity tests at him and he's still standing. nt

[MineralMan]

8. Biden is following a seasoned strategy in his campaign.

He knows the Democratic voting habits, and is focusing on the large bloc of voters who ignore ideas and solutions they see as too far to the left. At the same time, though, he is also presenting positions that echo the left's ideas on the direction to follow. He is proposing an expansion of Medicaid to act as a way to supply healthcare to those who fall outside the normal employer provided plans. He is calling for a $15 minimum wage, which is exactly what people like Sanders have been calling for.

He's also focusing on defeating Donald Trump and undoing the harm Trump has done. That's very important to a very large bloc of Democratic primary voters. Biden is a consummate Democrat, with a long history of leadership. His close association with Barack Obama doesn't hurt him, either. People remember Obama hanging the Presidential Medal of Freedom around his neck as a surprise. They remember the close friendship of Obama and Biden.

The primary race is not a debate team contest. It is a contest of politicians and leadership. A large number of Democratic voters are terminally weary of political drama. Joe Biden represents a less dramatic and less contentious political reality, and that is very, very appealing to many voters - perhaps a majority of voters.

As a reliable primary voter who always votes in every primary election, I have seen who is there to vote in my precinct. I've also worked at a polling place a few times during a primary election. Most primary voters are the sort of solid, Democratic people who vote out of a sense of responsibility to participate. Generally, they are older, in my experience, than the median age of the local population.

Who turns out to vote in the primaries will largely determine who is the winner. Right now, Biden has a solid lead in current polling of likely primary voters. Very solid.

[thesquanderer]

12. Anyone who does not recognize that as a major lead isn't on DU. ;-)

But especially after watching a couple of recent Biden videos, I would not be surprised to see a shift after the debates. My prediction is that Biden's numbers will go down, while some others will rise.

[Skya Rhen]

14. Delusional...

[Scurrilous]

7. K&R

[crazytown]

9. These polls are suspect

The Morning Consult numbers haven't changed for six weeks

May 06-12 - Biden 39, Sanders 19
May 13-20 - Biden 39, Sanders 19
May 20-26 - Biden 38, Sanders 20
May 27-02 - Biden 38, Sanders 19
Jun 03-09 - Biden 37, Sanders 19
Jun 10-16 - Biden 38, Sanders 19

[Kahuna7]

10. LOL! Maybe they're asking the same people...

[thesquanderer]

11. Not much has happened to change anyone's mind about them in the last 6 weeks.

It will be interesting to see if something shifts after the debates.

[crazytown]

13. For example

Most other polls show Sanders going backwards.

[marylandblue]

17. They all use different methodologies.

It makes more sense to use the average of all the polls than to question one particular poll that happens to disagree with everyone else.

[Cha]

15. Mahalo, Kahuna!

[Kahuna7]

16. Mahalo, Baby!

[Cha]

18. ..