Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

brooklynite

(93,873 posts)
Mon May 20, 2019, 09:52 AM May 2019

How Bill De Blasio Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary

FiveThirtyEight

The two-term mayor, who is scheduled to announce his candidacy on Thursday on “Good Morning America,” entered office promising big, progressive programs. But things haven’t always gone as planned. Just in the last few years, he has …
- Angered some in his liberal base by trying to bring an Amazon headquarters to the city.
- Stoked racial tension when trying to improve diversity in parts of the city’s deeply segregated school system.
- Failed to stop the spread of homelessness in the city despite running on a campaign promise to aggressively address the problem — there are more homeless people in the city’s shelter system today than when de Blasio took office.
- Watched as his housing department was deemed so inept that it is now largely overseen by the federal government.
- Inspired three-quarters of New York City voters to tell Quinnipiac that he shouldn’t run for president.

It’s easy to compile a list of de Blasio’s shortcomings because New York’s journalists love to catalog them — being in charge of a city with several major papers (two of them tabloids) has made de Blasio’s life difficult.

But our task is to figure out how he could win the nomination. FiveThirtyEight has a longstanding, five-month-old tradition: Whenever a major candidate declares he or she is running for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination, we try to find a path they could use to win. De Blasio’s is gnarled, but let’s see if we can make a case.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
13 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
How Bill De Blasio Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary (Original Post) brooklynite May 2019 OP
If you can make it in New York, you can make it anywhere dalton99a May 2019 #1
Maybe if ... frazzled May 2019 #2
Sounds about right True Dough May 2019 #3
Well, he certainly WON'T be at the Debate, so I guess that's a practical strategy... brooklynite May 2019 #4
If Me. May 2019 #6
ROFL! 50 Shades Of Blue May 2019 #8
Or they are all implicated in sexting scandals Jose Garcia May 2019 #10
if everyone else gets burned down by a dragon first? shanny May 2019 #5
Worst episode ever. Shell_Seas May 2019 #7
Who bought product placement this time? brooklynite May 2019 #9
Believe it or not, I think the only reason he is running is the success of Mayor Pete. RLG May 2019 #11
No, the problem is NOT "he got in too late" brooklynite May 2019 #12
In a way, it is too late. RLG May 2019 #13
 

dalton99a

(81,073 posts)
1. If you can make it in New York, you can make it anywhere
Mon May 20, 2019, 09:54 AM
May 2019

Winning and presidenting will be very, very easy




If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

frazzled

(18,402 posts)
2. Maybe if ...
Mon May 20, 2019, 10:19 AM
May 2019

a meteor hits the stage during a debate and he is the only participant spared?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

True Dough

(17,096 posts)
3. Sounds about right
Mon May 20, 2019, 10:26 AM
May 2019

You and I have just as good a chance of winning the lottery.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

brooklynite

(93,873 posts)
4. Well, he certainly WON'T be at the Debate, so I guess that's a practical strategy...
Mon May 20, 2019, 10:27 AM
May 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Jose Garcia

(2,552 posts)
10. Or they are all implicated in sexting scandals
Mon May 20, 2019, 11:22 AM
May 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

shanny

(6,709 posts)
5. if everyone else gets burned down by a dragon first?
Mon May 20, 2019, 10:30 AM
May 2019

that's the only way I can imagine

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

Shell_Seas

(3,319 posts)
7. Worst episode ever.
Mon May 20, 2019, 10:50 AM
May 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

brooklynite

(93,873 posts)
9. Who bought product placement this time?
Mon May 20, 2019, 11:08 AM
May 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

RLG

(314 posts)
11. Believe it or not, I think the only reason he is running is the success of Mayor Pete.
Mon May 20, 2019, 01:49 PM
May 2019

The problem is he got in too late.

I hope Stacey Abrams doesn't wait any longer as well.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

brooklynite

(93,873 posts)
12. No, the problem is NOT "he got in too late"
Mon May 20, 2019, 01:50 PM
May 2019

If he had been the FIRST candidate to announce, he'd be an unpopular choice, both among NYC voters and the national electorate.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

RLG

(314 posts)
13. In a way, it is too late.
Mon May 20, 2019, 01:51 PM
May 2019

He probably won't make the first tier in the debates in June. Even he admitted to this.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»Democratic Primaries»How Bill De Blasio Could ...