Bernie beat the polling estimates in NC, IL & MO

[Flying Squirrel]

Pollster.com / Actual / Difference (H-B):

NC: 54.8-34.6 / 54.6-40.8 / +6.4
IL: 48.8-41.1 / 50.5-48.7 / +5.9
MO: 46.5-43.5 / 49.6-49.4 / +2.8
OH: 53.3-41.5 / 56.5-42.7 / -1.6
FL: 60.3-32.3 / 64.5-33.3 / -3.2

Bernie got more than 80% of the undecideds (on average) in NC, IL and MO and beat the polls by an average 5.03% combined in those three states.

Not too surprisingly, the more heavily-polled states of OH and FL had the most accurate predictions for Bernie's percentages - MI was also heavily-polled, however, so we can't necessarily assume this will always be the case.

AZ is anyone's guess... WA will be heavily Sanders if I know my fellow Washingtonians; WI is starting to look good for Bernie. Why no polls in NY, are they just assuming that's a safe HRC state? After WA and WI, NY and PA are gonna be the big deals coming up. We have six weeks to make up 20 points in PA. The momentum is still there, but will it be enough?

If not, well... it's been nice knowing you all.

[djean111]

1. I feel the same way.

Funny, the Hillary peeps are so looking forward to a purge. I think there will just be an exodus.

[mountain grammy]

2. I attended our little red county's

Democratic assembly last night as an alternate for Bernie. 60+ good Democrats there, 2/3's for Bernie. Most in their late twenties, early thirties, worried about our future, as they should be, and stepping up to work for Dems in Colorado. We might even turn the Board of CU Regents blue.. imagine having a university board that actually believes in climate change!

Without Bernie, I think the same 20 people would have shown up and done our thankless work for our tiny group of county Dems and probably sent all 12 delegates to the state convention for Hillary. I appreciate all of them, but getting a crowd is great and it's all because of Bernie. These are the Democrats who didn't vote in 2014.

[johnlucas]

3. That's good. We gotta fight back the media onslaught over the next few months

Last night should have been better.
And if he won 3 states yesterday, the media couldn't write him off anymore.
Because of how last night went, the media drumbeat to bury Bernie will get even stronger.
So we must counter that & keep upsetting Hillary by big margins in the remaining states.

We gotta edge her out in New York & landslide her in every remaining state available.
We won't get Maryland or Delaware since they're in the South or near-South but we can try to get it closer like we did in North Carolina.

We must push his strength in the Plains states, the Mountain states, & DEFINITELY the West Coast states.
We cap this off with the BIGGEST West Coast state & state period California.
The marijuana vote is one thing we need to court.
Get Snoop Dogg on the phone! Or Snoop Lion if he prefers!

Let Hillary get complacent as she focuses on Trump & we'll wipe her out in the remaining states until we get this nomination.
John Lucas

[Overseas]

4. K&R. That's what I thought. eom.

[Land Shark]

5. ALMOST gotta regret that Michigan victory setting expectations higher than needed

Glad that Hillary strong states are all done basically. Unless they can psych out Bernie supporters in which case they will crow that progressives are invisible and Hillary rules all.

[Victor_c3]

6. I hope NY isn't considered an "HRC safe-zone"

I live just a little south of Rhinebeck (where HRC lives) and all I see in this area are Bernie bumper stickers. I haven't seen a single HRC one. Everyone I talk to around me is pro-Bernie or a republican. Nobody admits to supporting HRC.

[Cal33]

9. How about the rest of the State of New York? Would you or anyone else know about how these

New Yorkers feel about Sanders vs Clinton?

[PatrynXX]

7. 538

had MO at 9 point difference and had it as MO the least likely state to be in play. Instead it was the most state in play

and for all the rush in the world for ILL she had a net gain of 1 delegate in ILL 68 to 67 thats gonna hurt.. For a state that wasn't supposed to be in play and I bet MO is tied since Obama beat her by 2 points in 2008 and it was tied.

or.. wtf She won MO by 1300 votes but it's still 99 % in okay no wonder MO hasn't been called yet. Neither for Republican or Democrat hmmm right now she's ahead 1300 votes but he has 32 delegates and she has 31 O_O someones gonna get miffed about that number. It's bound to be a tie in the end...

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/missouri (only using this source because they don't include the fantasy number)


Really weird looking at that map and knowing IA was a virtual tie as much as a tie could be yet it's Bluer (Clinton ) than either MO or IL. as in most of the states voted for Bernie in those two, but the biggest cities were the deciding factor
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/national-results-map

[blackspade]

8. We have to stay solid.

The pressure to conform is going to get really bad around here.
The accusations of 'undermining' the 'party' have begun in ernest now.

[restorefreedom]

10. luckily for me, i trashed gdp this morning

and it felt good!

#berniegrouporbust

[blackspade]

11. Unfortunately that doesn't stop the posts from showing up on the feed.

I still constantly see the dreck from camp weathervane all the time....

[restorefreedom]

13. i thought there was a total block option to keep it off greatest,etc.

hmmm, maybe some others know the ins and outs more...

[blackspade]

15. I have her group on full trash and still see posts all the time.

It's pretty annoying given the spew of bullshit that comes out of that group.

[restorefreedom]

16. thats too bad. there should be a total block option. :(

i am doing my best between ignore and trash to keep the poison out of my head, but its not easy


#berniegrouporbust

[blackspade]

17. I hear ya.

[restorefreedom]

18. :) nt

[StandingInLeftField]

12. I have so many of the rabid faithful on Ignore

that I rarely have to deal with it. If that makes my world an echo-chamber, so be it.

[restorefreedom]

14. if it makes me happy,

like spock when he was hopped up on spores, then so be it. my ignore list is growing daily



#berniegrouporbust