2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumObama didn't even give his speech yet but Gallup has him at 49% approval
and 45% disapproval (and Gallup has had the lowest approval #s for Obama out of most polls): http://www.gallup.com/home.aspx
And Intrade has him up to nearly 59: http://www.intrade.com/v4/home/
THEN add to it Nate Silver's prediction of 311 EVs & a 76% chance of winning: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
Things are lookin' darn good!
Blue Yorker
(436 posts)Flawless speeches by Michelle, Julian, Big Dog, etc. They said good things about Obama that reminded the people he's not to blame for this mess.
C_U_L8R
(45,040 posts)just wait 'til the real deal takes the stage !!!
We're gonna get a terrific bounce !!
regnaD kciN
(26,045 posts)...a convention bump. In the model that assesses the race as it is today, Obama's victory odds are "only" 69%.
Marsala
(2,090 posts)Obama will get hit by the model if he doesn't get a convention bump of 2-4 points, I think. But if he does get a decent bump, Nate's model will back him more strongly than the 2008 model did until late October.
madrchsod
(58,162 posts)she related to more more across the political spectrum than mitten`s wife.
tonight should be VERY interesting!
FrenchieCat
(68,867 posts)so that it can be said that Obama's own speech didn't give him a bounce a la Romney...
Yes, I am very skeptical of polling these days.....almost as much as I am skeptical of the right leaning media
doing all that they can to make sure that the race stays "close" no matter how bad of a candidate Romney
actually is.
jenmito
(37,326 posts)I was JUST thinking about you yesterday-that I haven't seen any posts from you lately. Good to "see" you!
I agree with your skepticism. I think Nate Silver is accurate, though.
FrenchieCat
(68,867 posts)I've been very busy being better off today than I was 4 years ago.....
But this is Convention time, so I can't resist posting......while in the past few months,
I only had the luxury of lurking.
jenmito
(37,326 posts)being "very busy being better off today than I was 4 years ago....."
Yeah-Convention time is one of my favorite times. Especially THIS convention! Well, I'm happy to see you doing so well.