2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPew National Poll: Obama expands lead to seven-points
Despite the stagnant economy and broad dissatisfaction with national conditions, Barack Obama holds a significant lead over Mitt Romney. Currently, Obama is favored by a 50% to 43% margin among registered voters nationwide. Obama has led by at least a slim margin in every poll this year, and there is no clear trend in either candidates support since Romney wrapped up the GOP nomination.
The latest national survey by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, conducted June 28-July 9, 2012 among 2,973 adults, including 2,373 registered voters, finds that Romney has not seized the advantage as the candidate best able to improve the economy. In fact, he has lost ground on this issue over the past month.
The presidential campaigns dynamics have changed little in recent months, despite the courts high-profile health care ruling, a series of subpar job reports and increased campaign activity on the part of both candidates. Independent voters remain evenly divided, 46% support Romney while 45% back Obama. Nearly identical majorities of Democrats (88%) and Republicans (89%) support their partys candidate. Obamas lead arises from the Democratic Partys continuing advantage in party identification among registered voters.
While Romney has nearly uniform support from his base, he continues to struggle in building enthusiasm. Just 34% of Romney voters support him strongly, compared with 64% of Obamas backers. Yet this lack of enthusiasm does not mean that Republican voters are disengaged. Seven-in-ten Romney supporters say they have given quite a lot of thought to the election, compared with 62% of Obama supporters. This gap has remained consistent throughout the year.
http://www.people-press.org/2012/07/12/section-1-the-2012-race-issue-strengths-views-of-the-parties/
as always, Pew has lots of good info on the website.
mgcgulfcoast
(1,127 posts)great news
DCBob
(24,689 posts)and I suspect they will continue that way given the plethora of negative news on Rmoney recently.
Rosanna Lopez
(308 posts)I think Pew showed a 4% lead for Obama in June, so this appears to be a 3% increase from last month.