2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNew ABC -WAPO Poll - Trump 24% Walker 13% Bush 12%/Clinton 68% Sanders 16% Webb 5% O'Malley 2%
Support for Trump fell sharply on the one night that voters were surveyed following those comments. Telephone interviewing for the poll began Thursday, and most calls were completed before the news about the remarks was widely reported.
Although the sample size for the final day was small, the decline was statistically significant. Still, it is difficult to predict what could happen to Trumps support in the coming days and weeks as the controversy plays out.
Even with the drop in support on the final night of the survey, Trump was the favorite of 24 percent of registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. That is the highest percentage and biggest lead recorded by any GOP candidate this year in Post-ABC News polls and marks a sixfold increase in his support since late May, shortly before he formally joined the race.
Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, who announced his candidacy a week ago, is in second place, at 13 percent, followed by former Florida governor Jeb Bush, at 12 percent. Walkers support is strongest among those who describe themselves as very conservative.
In the contest for the Democratic nomination, former secretary of state Hillary Rodham Clinton maintains a wide lead, with 68 percent of registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents saying they would vote for her today in a caucus or primary. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who is drawing big and enthusiastic crowds in many states, is in second, at 16 percent. Support for Sanders has grown with each Post-ABC News poll this year.
Trailing the top two candidates are former senator Jim Webb (Va.), at 5 percent, former Maryland governor Martin OMalley, at 2 percent, and former Rhode Island governor Lincoln D. Chafee, at 1 percent.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/poll-trump-surges-to-big-lead-in-gop-presidential-race/2015/07/20/efd2e0d0-2ef8-11e5-8f36-18d1d501920d_story.html
Trump, however, could become a factor if he were to leave the GOP race and run for president as an independent. The survey shows that in a hypothetical three-way race, Clinton is at 46 percent, Bush is at 30 percent and Trump is at 20 percent among registered voters.
lapfog_1
(29,238 posts)That's a huge increase in popularity from the last polling results!
randys1
(16,286 posts)who wasnt qualified to wash cars let alone be a powerful politician.
And yet, this isnt what the vile and despicable teaparty use to criticize McCain.
They hate him because he was too liberal.
KittyWampus
(55,894 posts)yeoman6987
(14,449 posts)Who was it that was saying she is in trouble?
okasha
(11,573 posts)Inexplicably, upward.
Metric System
(6,048 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,718 posts)eom
George II
(67,782 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,718 posts)But Walker would be easier than Bush lll.
KittyWampus
(55,894 posts)-sigh-
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,718 posts)But they serve a purpose in red states.
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)It's a long way to the primaries,he's still got time.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,718 posts)Webb is getting some conservative Democrats.