Moody's Projects That Obama Will Romp Over Romney In November

[TBF]

Moody's Projects That Obama Will Romp Over Romney In November
Brett LoGiurato | May 23, 2012, 9:20 AM

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/obama-romney-electoral-college-2012-projection-from-moodys-2012-5?utm_source=sailthrusuggest&utm_medium=rightrail&utm_term=&utm_content=&utm_campaign=recirc#ixzz1viuJG3OT

[bluestateguy]

1. It would be nice to have Florida

but I guess we can't get greedy.

[TBF]

2. I was thinking it would be nice to have NC

after putting on a convention there ...

[WI_DEM]

3. NC is very doable. Polls there are neck and neck. It will come down to turnout.

[JoePhilly]

10. YUP ... the blue parts of NC will be out in force.

[Proud Liberal Dem]

4. Sounds good to me.

Lets make it happen!

[TBF]

7. I may not be able to do magic here in Texas -

but we are doing better then past years. GOTV is important here, helping folks get to polls etc.

[Gothmog]

14. Texas will be blue

I think that Texas will be competitive in 2016 and that the Democrats should carry Texas in 2020.

[TBF]

17. Well if Brazoria and Fort Bend would go blue that would

be amazing indeed! But there are areas that certainly should be blue.

[boxman15]

20. Texas will turn blue within the next couple election cycles, no doubt in my mind.

Just keep up the good work, and maybe we can get some lower level offices turned blue this time around!

[TBF]

21. Good article from the 26th district on this -

Fort Bend has been called a bellwether county so often that it’s easy to become skeptical about the use of the term—even if the description is accurate.

Fort Bend, which sits just southwest of Houston, is among the most diverse and fast- growing counties in Texas, part of the “Big Five” fast-growing suburban counties along with Collin, Montgomery, Denton and Williamson. It has pleasant subdivisions with genteel names like First Colony and Sugar Creek and an abundance of retail outlets along Highway 6, which barrels through Sugar Land, the heart of state House District 26.

After 16 years, Republican incumbent Charlie Howard is leaving the legislative seat once held by Tom DeLay, long before he became U.S. House majority leader. Four Republicans, including two women of color, are running for the open seat.

County GOP Chair Mike Gibson said the candidates have no “overriding” disagreements on policy issues and that the candidates’ backgrounds will partially determine their success.

Republicans have dominated Fort Bend County for years. They still do, despite the departure of many Anglos and the arrival of many people of color and first-generation immigrants that have transformed Fort Bend into a majority-minority county. The county’s population is about 660,000, of which 36 percent is white, 24 percent Hispanic, 21 percent black and 17 percent Asian, according to the most recent U.S. Census.

More here: http://www.texasobserver.org/cover-story/house-district-26-as-fort-bend-goes

[no_hypocrisy]

5. Are they selling derivatives for that yet?

[jaysunb]

6. I'm betting 357-173

Fl,NC, and Mo will be in the Democratic bag....according to MY crystal ball.

[libinnyandia]

9. McCain won MO in 2008 with a very small margin of victory. I will be close again.

[Moostache]

16. MO. is out...

East Kansas outside of St. Louis, Kansas City and Columbia is a lost cause...too many pockets of completely back-ass hill-jacks with racial issues and gullibility issues to boot. I can't even tell you how depressing it is just in Dick Gephart's old district...further out from the metro area than that and you might as well be in Montana, Idaho or the actual Kansas.

I will cast my vote for McCaskill and Obama and both will lose this state by wide margins...

[Drunken Irishman]

8. I think FL and NC ultimately go Obama...

A lot of people thought FL was lost in '08 too but it eventually swung Obama's way.

[JoePhilly]

11. Obama needs one of these to make it an early night.

[Drunken Irishman]

12. VA makes it an early night.

[JoePhilly]

13. also true.

Good news ... Romney can't win without a very long night.

[Drunken Irishman]

15. OH makes it an early night too!

But you're right, while I don't see Romney winning this, if he does, it will be very narrow and not over until maybe even early morning.

[Flying Squirrel]

18. early morning?

How bout several weeks and multiple recounts and lawsuits? Followed by a 5-4 SC decision, of course... lol thank God I don`t believe for a second it will be that close this time. Obama will win a second term. I just hope he gets to serve it there are a lot of truly psychopathically ill people in this country right now and the GOP doesn`t mind encouraging them.

[yellowcanine]

19. 303 to 235 isn't real close but it is no romp. That said, I think Obama will win FL and NC also.

And maybe AZ. So it would be 358 EVs. I still think Obama has an outside chance at Indiana also - it was hit hard by the recession but has bounced back some under Obama. Unemployment there is at 7.9% for April.

[boxman15]

22. If the election were held today, I think this looks about right.

We have a shot to flip Florida and North Carolina back by November, and I think we will. Also, Missouri and Arizona should be up for grabs for us, too. In this scenario, we could afford to lose all those states and Ohio and Virginia and still win, which is good news.

[boxman15]

23. If the Obama campaign can just win Nevada and Colorado,

(assuming they win swing-ish states Michigan, Pennsylvania, and New Hampshire), then the Romney campaign will have to win Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia to win. Obama is in great shape in the Electoral College.

[Woody Woodpecker]

24. Colorado will remain blue...

And we will be booting out at least 3 of 4 Rethug Reps that gotten in by the way of Teabagging, and there's been a long buyer's remorse..