2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumTrump leading Hillary +1 in latest IBD/TIPP national poll. T taking independents by + 9
http://www.investors.com/politics/donald-trump-leads-hillary-clinton-with-more-states-in-play-ibdtipp-poll/Donald Trump has moved into the lead over Hillary Clinton, 44% to 43% with two days left before Election Day, according to the latest IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll. And the number of states in play is expanding.
Trump needs to win swing voters by a wide margin to sweep to victory. In the latest IBD/TIPP poll, he leads independents by 9 points, 40%-31%.
Notably, Johnson gets 12% of this key group and Stein 5%. Will independents actually pull the lever for third-party candidates, especially in tossup states where the outcome is in doubt?
Meanwhile, Trump leads among men 50%-38%, while Clinton leads among women, 48%-38%. She dominates with single women, 59%-25%, but married women favor Trump, 49%-38%.
book_worm
(15,951 posts)factfinder_77
(841 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)and lots of people recognize that on DU.
tarheelsunc
(2,117 posts)They're obviously not keeping up with the changing electorate. 2012 wasn't a great year for them, and 2016 will not be either.
obamanut2012
(26,158 posts)sunonmars
(8,656 posts)uawchild
(2,208 posts)Like online polls are ever accurate.
beachbumbob
(9,263 posts)Margin of error land the entire time....
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)Foggyhill
(1,060 posts)The whole hesdline and
Overinterpretstion of data
of this thing
Seems
To point to agenda polling data for poll grading, Nate seemingly looks st end result and not methodologies which makes his assessments highly suspect
This poll is so out of whack compared to all other polls which doesn't help it
factfinder_77
(841 posts)is Final Morning Consult/Political Poll horse shit also:
RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)regnaD kciN
(26,045 posts)LOL
try telling that to the World Champion Cleveland Indians.
Seriously, if your poll had shown Clinton up by three, would you have started a thread about it? Didn't think so.
tarheelsunc
(2,117 posts)bravenak
(34,648 posts)I see the concern never ends. Go search far and wide, maybe you can find a poll that shows Trump running the table; and hurry up and post it as fast as possible. You know how much we just need a pessimism bomb early in the morning.
obamanut2012
(26,158 posts)Fahrenthold451
(436 posts)And it's been consistently ridiculous otherwise...
http://www.investors.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/IBD_TIPP_PresidentialElectionPoll_101916_rev.pdf
Democat
(11,617 posts)And all of his other usernames.
molova
(543 posts)To be honest
Squinch
(51,043 posts)Amishman
(5,559 posts)The hispanic vote has handed Hillary the election, and they are not being sampled correctly.