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Demsrule86

(68,347 posts)
Thu Nov 3, 2016, 12:16 PM Nov 2016

New Polls Show Hillary Clinton Leading in most key states

"...Yet Clinton is in a better place than Barack Obama was at this point in 2012. In the HuffPost Pollster chart, Obama widened his lead to just 1.5 percentage points over Mitt Romney nationally ― but that was good enough for Simon Jackman’s HuffPost model and Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight model to give Obama a 91 percent chance of winning. Obama’s odds in the states were good enough that he was predicted to get 332 electoral votes (which is what he got)."

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/state-polls-clinton-leading_us_581a8098e4b08f9841ad3a03

So why is 538 ( and some others) so different this year...Obama had less of a lead than Clinton has now ...91 % chance of winning according to 538...now 538 shows under 70% chance for Clinton who has a bigger lead, why? I predict over 300 electoral votes for Hillary.

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New Polls Show Hillary Clinton Leading in most key states (Original Post) Demsrule86 Nov 2016 OP
K&R!! TY Demsrule Cha Nov 2016 #1
You are welcome! Thanks for the kind reply. Demsrule86 Nov 2016 #2
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