2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThe Early Vote In Nevada Suggests Clinton Might Beat Her Polls There
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-early-vote-in-nevada-suggests-clinton-might-beat-her-polls-there/Over the last eight years, Nevada has been getting bluer. Though its voters supported George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004, the state voted for President Obama by a wider margin than the nation as a whole in 2008 and 2012. So, its been interesting that Hillary Clinton has not pulled far ahead of Donald Trump there. The latest FiveThirtyEight forecast puts her at 47 percent, and Trump at 45. Are the polls showing a close race just wrong? Or, has something in the state changed politically?
Well have to wait a week to know for sure, but the early vote in Nevada suggests Clinton is relatively safe there.
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Tired of these negative polls posted on DU in the past 3 days;
We know the media is simply trying to make some extra cash. They do this every election.
Every four years, this is their big money making timeand they have it down to a science.
Vote; Get others out to vote; And believe we will win.
SunSeeker
(51,726 posts)sotheyclaimDem
(32 posts)Raidel
(18 posts)On her Facebook ad she has this
"As of yesterday, Trump is the favorite to win Ohio, Iowa, and Florida. He could be sitting on 259 electoral votes -- just 11 votes away from a win. He could find those votes in battleground state where our lead isnt so clear-cut.
So Im personally asking you: Will you chip now to help us get resources to our teams in key states now?"
Great way to make sure we do not get complacent...GOTV and let's finish this already! ( I'm sure her internal polls aren't showing something different (worse) than all the polls released today). I'm not being a concern troll or anything...I do lurk for the last 2 elections (this will be my third) but with this post my intentions are not to create concern nor am I concerned.
Foggyhill
(1,060 posts)Than more neutral analysts so this seems to be a deliberate strategy
Don't think people should need that as a motivation to vote, but if that's what they need, I guess a bit of fear is good
MyNameIsKhan
(2,205 posts)A complete incapable candidate against capable candidate, media rooting, FBI joining the chorus. I mean what has not happened until now? Murder on video? Rape on Video?
MyNameIsKhan
(2,205 posts)The ground reality, nothing really changed.
Freddie
(9,275 posts)One of my favorite "obscure" Macca songs