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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumFox News Poll: Clinton ahead of Trump after debate...
First, the horserace. Clinton is ahead of Trump by three percentage points: 43-40 percent in the four-way matchup, according to a new Fox News Poll of likely voters. Her advantage is within the polls margin of sampling error. Two weeks ago, Clinton was up by one (41-40 percent).
In the two-candidate head-to-head, Clinton tops Trump by five: 49-44 percent. Two weeks ago, Trump was up by one (46-45 percent).
The consequences of the debate, which voters score as a win for Clinton by nearly three-to-one, are even clearer on other measures. Trumps honesty rating is down, most still say he doesnt have the right temperament, and over half wouldnt be comfortable with him as president.
Meanwhile, more voters now see Clinton as honest than Trump, the number who say she has the right temperament is up, and over half think her long tenure in government is a positive. Plus, her support increased among women, non-whites, and younger voters.
The consequences of the debate, which voters score as a win for Clinton by nearly three-to-one, are even clearer on other measures. Trumps honesty rating is down, most still say he doesnt have the right temperament, and over half wouldnt be comfortable with him as president.
Meanwhile, more voters now see Clinton as honest than Trump, the number who say she has the right temperament is up, and over half think her long tenure in government is a positive. Plus, her support increased among women, non-whites, and younger voters.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/09/30/fox-news-poll-clinton-ahead-trump-after-debate-fear-motivating-both-sides.html
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Fox News Poll: Clinton ahead of Trump after debate... (Original Post)
yallerdawg
Sep 2016
OP
molova
(543 posts)1. Imagine if there was a Media Matters poll
Would the media respect it as much as they respect the Trump-supporting Fox?
I'll wait for a Pew/Marist/NbC poll, which may show her lead even larger.
I don't know why a poll commissioned by an outlet that praises Trump 24/7 and bashes Hillary 24/7 is not accompanied by a conflict of interest warning.
yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)2. This is where he goes to brag, "I'm winning!"
Now where does he go?
PJMcK
(21,988 posts)3. Add 5 percentage points to Secretary Clinton's numbers
If it's Fox News, they don't want a repeat of their complete screw-up in 2012. But they can't help but skew towards the Republican side. Just un-fudge it to get a better guess of the real numbers they found.
yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)4. RealClearPolitics just jumped to Clinton +3.1.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
And FiveThirtyEight "Who would win the presidency today?" went to 76.6% chance for Hillary - last week before debate she was high 40's!
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#now
This must be the Fox News Friday Night dump!
And FiveThirtyEight "Who would win the presidency today?" went to 76.6% chance for Hillary - last week before debate she was high 40's!
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#now
This must be the Fox News Friday Night dump!