Wonder if Allan Lichtman has made his prediction yet.
As of this writing, he had not:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/05/12/this-professor-has-predicted-every-presidential-election-since-1984-hes-still-trying-to-figure-out-2016/
= new reply since forum marked as read
No reliance on polls, no attempt to "weight" data. The key they identify in predicting who will win is the performance of the party holding the White House.
This goes along with something I heard from another pollster, that the incumbent president's approval rating is the key indicator that correlates most strongly, not in just the presidential race, but how the party will do as a whole.
This June article has 2 "updates," but unfortunately they're very dated. 
http://hubpages.com/politics/Predicting-the-2016-Election-the-13-Keys-to-the-White-House
LICHTMAN: So when we’re talking about scandal, we’re talking about presidential scandals. We’re talking about the Watergate scandal, the Clinton impeachment, the Teapot Dome bribery scandal of the 1920s. And there is nothing remotely close to that for the Obama administration. Candidates trying to undermine each other, that is as old as the Republic.
These personal charges and countercharges are really the common coin of American politics. They ebb and flow; they’re more severe at some times than others. They’re pretty severe now, but they’ve been more severe in the past.
