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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumQuinnipiac gets it wrong again: Poll: Clinton and Trump run neck-and-neck
Despite EVERY poll showing Clinton crushing Trump, Quinnipiac has them "neck-and-neck"?
http://www.cnn.com/2016/06/29/politics/quinnipiac-poll-hillary-clinton-donald-trump/index.html
Washington (CNN)A new Quinnipiac University poll shows Hillary Clinton leading Trump by just two points, 42% to 40%, a much closer race than other recent surveys have shown.
With third-party candidates included, Clinton leads 39% to 37%, with Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson at 8% and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 4%.
This Quinnipiac poll is quite different from other recent surveys on the presidential race, showing a much tighter contest than others. Its field period overlaps with those of the Washington Post/ABC News and NBC News /Wall Street Journal polls released Sunday, both of which found Clinton significantly ahead of Trump.
</snip>
Washington (CNN)A new Quinnipiac University poll shows Hillary Clinton leading Trump by just two points, 42% to 40%, a much closer race than other recent surveys have shown.
With third-party candidates included, Clinton leads 39% to 37%, with Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson at 8% and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 4%.
This Quinnipiac poll is quite different from other recent surveys on the presidential race, showing a much tighter contest than others. Its field period overlaps with those of the Washington Post/ABC News and NBC News /Wall Street Journal polls released Sunday, both of which found Clinton significantly ahead of Trump.
</snip>
They STILL suck at polling...
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Quinnipiac gets it wrong again: Poll: Clinton and Trump run neck-and-neck (Original Post)
Cooley Hurd
Jun 2016
OP
Every poll is a data point...Keep your eye on the mean or the median.
DemocratSinceBirth
Jun 2016
#5
4dsc
(5,787 posts)1. Don't believe it for a second
EOM
aaaaaa5a
(4,667 posts)2. Look at the Hispanic number
In the internals if the poll, Clinton is only getting 50% of the Hispanic vote. Trump had 33%.
I think that says it all.
Strange outlier.
BlueNoMatterWho
(880 posts)7. Yes, if that's the ethnic breakdown it is slightly flawed
Trump won't get out of the 20's with the Latino vote. However this poll is much more realistic based on the party ID sample. They polled 31-28% Dems to Rethugs. A plus 3, about right. The ABC/WaPo poll that had Clinton leading +12 had a Dem party ID of +12. Not realistic.
HumanityExperiment
(1,442 posts)3. 538 gives them...
uponit7771
(90,323 posts)9. They shouldn't, they got Hispanics at 50% C 33% tRump
BlueNoMatterWho
(880 posts)10. Though that is a result, not a sampling anomaly.
Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)4. I see what you mean. All the pollsters were so right during the primaries.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)5. Every poll is a data point...Keep your eye on the mean or the median.
leftynyc
(26,060 posts)6. Qunnipiac STATE polls are excellent
They've always sucked at national polls.
DLCWIdem
(1,580 posts)11. Didn't Quinnipiac get some down grades in polling this year
I seem to remember a discussion about their methodology and polling for an overly white electorate.