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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumA new poll suggests that Hillary Clinton has halted Donald Trump’s gains-
Look to treads this far out.
A new poll suggests that Hillary Clinton has halted Donald Trumps gains
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By Philip Bump June 1 at 9:25 AM
Donald Trump attends a fundraising event in New Jersey. (Mike Segar/Reuters)
We are, remarkably, at the 160-day mark until the presidential election, a stretch of time that is simultaneously a ton of time (months and months) and shockingly brief (on the scale of a campaign that began in late 2014). That's 160 days, 3,840 or so hours, during which Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump need to (a) solidify their bases of support and (b) appeal to voters who may be wavering. One hundred sixty days during which Trump needs to either gain a majority of support from American voters or at least gain the upper hand in enough states to cobble together an electoral college victory.
On the first strategy, some bad news. A new Quinnipiac University survey shows that Trump's position against Clinton is essentially unchanged since the last time the school polled, in March. At that point, Clinton was up six points; now, she's up four. Why is that bad news? Because this is after Trump solidified the Republican nomination. This is after Republicans theoretically ended their intraparty feuding and settled on one guy to lead them forward toward November. And in a one-on-one contest with Clinton -- whose Democratic Party is still split -- Trump still trails.
Clinton's party isn't as divided as it used to be. If we look at her lead in RealClearPolitics' average of polls since January, you can see that the Democratic contest narrowed as Clinton's lead over Trump grew. Since early April, Clinton's lead over Bernie Sanders among Democrats has grown steadily. After the Indiana primary, the point at which Trump's opponents all left the playing field, her lead over Trump vanished -- with a bit of an uptick recently......................
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A new poll suggests that Hillary Clinton has halted Donald Trump’s gains- (Original Post)
riversedge
Jun 2016
OP
Polls this far out are irrelevant. Trump stands alone. Either this country is crazy enough to elect
Trust Buster
Jun 2016
#6
cliffordu
(30,994 posts)1. Or, maybe, trumps mouth is finally defeating him
This problem he's got with veterans is not going to go away....and the press is FINALLY turning
DebDoo
(319 posts)2. I guess I missed the part that explains how Clinton made this happen
Lil Missy
(17,865 posts)4. Yes, Apparently. n/t
riversedge
(70,473 posts)7. Move out of the Bernie Bubble and you won't miss so much.
Lil Missy
(17,865 posts)3. Some people here will be sorry to hear this. They want her to lose.
Shadowflash
(1,536 posts)5. Funny
I read on here, a bazillion times a day for a month now, that polls out this far are worthless and deserve nothing but ridicule.
Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)6. Polls this far out are irrelevant. Trump stands alone. Either this country is crazy enough to elect
him or they're not. Polls will not give you that answer.