Hillary Will Win the Primary and Lose the General Election

[davidlynch]

Once Hillary comes under full fire of the Trump slime machine, her negatives will be pushed to the highest of any presidential candidate. Combine that with extremely feeble support from alienated independent voters, and she'll lose narrowly in key swing states. Watch on election night as states like Florida and Ohio turn red; in fact, some formerly-blue states may be lost by a surprising margin.

There will be but one silver lining: this painful loss will vividly illustrate that 1990s-style triangulation, combined with the outrageous, dismissive attitudes of people like DWS, can no longer win elections. Yet, the Democratic party will continue to cling to these losing tactics until the bitter end, only adapting to the new world when inescapably forced to do so.

[LexVegas]

1. Berniebro wishful thinking.

[Dem2]

2. But Bernie would be treated with kid gloves by Trump?

please.

[davidlynch]

5. I wanted to mention that Bernie might very well lose as well...

In which case we have a completely new set of lessons to learn.

[Skink]

6. Bernie will quash Trump

[Dem2]

9. In my dreams

while I wrestle with dragons

[Gomez163]

3. Wow. An original thought. NOT.

[JaneyVee]

4. BWAHAHAHAHAHA! You wish.

[senseandsensibility]

7. I disagree with much of your post,

but I do believe that the Democratic party is on the wrong track. However, I don't think the "new" Dems care. Their goal is to pull the Dems as far to the right as possible, not to win elections.

[Agschmid]

8. Bookmarked.

[corkhead]

10. to appropriate an old Churchill quote:

The Democratic party will do the right thing once it has exhausted all other options

[bigtree]

11. love these posts sweating the threat of Trump

...this one trumpeting the 'Trump slime machine' as the cause, while contradicting that prediction by insisting such a loss will be the result of Democratic party 'triangulation.'

I remember similar dire warnings about Obama in '08. The campaign isn't run in some little box full of whatever your personal peeve might be. It will take on dimensions of Trump's nonsense, but it will also be influenced by a united and strong Democratic party.

The other element is that the independents you're projecting, who didn't support Hillary because Sanders cornered them in the primary, will be free to support our nominee; and support her, they will, with a determination that Trump's republican party doesn't succeed.

[yeoman6987]

13. Two things Hillary is vulnerable with Iraq vote and trade

The Iraq vote she needs to fully apologize now so trump cat use it against her and trade she needs to explain why she likes the trade deals and how jobs can be had anyway. Those the the only two things trump has on Hillary.

[LiberalFighter]

18. Actually she is not. It will expose Trump's hypocrisy when he attempts to use those issues.

[bigtree]

21. you've given Trump undue credit on Iraq

...so much so, that I'm really not interested in worrying about that along with you.

I like the report today that says Trump made a deal to use 100s of foreign workers for his business.

[JoePhilly]

12. Keep your fingers crossed.

[KingFlorez]

14. Keep your private fantasies to yourself

[mikehiggins]

15. Sadly, I must agree

I think Trump has an excellent chance to beat Secretary Clinton, as much as I wish it was not so.

Of course, I am a Berniac but I am also a voter who has been active in politics for 50 of my 70 years. What I see coming down the road is a campaign of lies and smears and vitriol such as we haven't seen since the days of Willie Horton or even earlier, the Goldwater nuke.

Secretary Clinton? Her main strength is that she is not Donald Trump.

Not good enough, Madame Secretary. All of the strengths you started out with last year will be negated with ease by the Chump campaign.

The voting public does not believe what the Powers That Be are trying to force down our throats. Sanders has taken the role of pointing out that the Emperor has no clothes. The question isn't whether the Sanders supporters will vote for Hillary. The question is why should anyone?

She'll have to come up with some good answers if she wants to beat the Trump machine. I don't think she can.

Both Canada and Ireland have made mention of welcoming US citizens who will flee the country if Trump is elected. Sort of describes the situation to a tee, from my point of view.

[Sparkly]

16. It's really gonna hurt her when people start calling her names.

[Alfresco]

17. No amount of wishful thinking will make it so.

[HereSince1628]

19. Politicians who percieve their are winning don't change their approach.

That's why the need to invent narratives that splain losing as winning are such a big part of politics.

[pampango]

20. A right wing demagogue like Trump will be dangerous in the GE against any Democrat.

He sounds 'populist' and will alternately appear to be far to the left then 5 minutes later far to the right. And he says anything that pops into his head, some of which will appeal to almost anyone.

Our candidate will need to deal with a torrent of negative, personal attacks (and we thought they were bad in the past). It will be hard to argue policy with him since he is all over the map on almost every policy issue.

[bigwillq]

22. Hillary will win the primary and very likely win the General Election

Seems like the election map, as of right now, is in her favor.

[MineralMan]

23. Love your work, David, but you're wrong on this