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factfinder_77

(841 posts)
Mon May 16, 2016, 12:36 AM May 2016

For everybody who is concerned by the recent Quinnipiac polls, look at poll averages

A lot of Sanders and Trump supporters are saying that these recent Quinnipiac swing state polls prove that Secretary Clinton will lose in November because she's a 'weak candidate'. We know that that's not true, but take a look at some polling data. The media generally emphasize polls wherein Trump is winning, for some reason. Let's take a look at a lot of polls in battleground states.

This is Florida (Clinton +4.3): http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton-5635.html

This is Ohio (Clinton +3.0): http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/oh/ohio_trump_vs_clinton-5634.html

This is Pennsylvania (Clinton +7.0): http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_clinton-5633.html

This is Michigan (Clinton +10.5): http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mi/michigan_trump_vs_clinton-5533.html

This is North Carolina (Clinton +3.3): http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nc/north_carolina_trump_vs_clinton-5538.html

This is Wisconsin (Clinton +11.5): http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_trump_vs_clinton-5659.html

This is Georgia (Trump +4.7): http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ga/georgia_trump_vs_clinton-5741.html

This is Indiana (Trump +7.5): http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/in/indiana_trump_vs_clinton-5878.html

This is Missouri (Trump +7.0): http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mo/missouri_trump_vs_clinton-5609.html

And here's some national polling (Clinton +5.7): http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

What we see is that Clinton leads in all of these excepting three red states. The hope is that she can turn them blue. We can expect a post-presumptive nominee boost in polling come June 7, too. This election won't be easy for either side, but Clinton is certainly not a weak candidate and she is the most qualified presidential candidate of the 21st century.

16 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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For everybody who is concerned by the recent Quinnipiac polls, look at poll averages (Original Post) factfinder_77 May 2016 OP
Thats scary. And way too close for my liking. bobbobbins01 May 2016 #1
Yes, Sanders is the far stronger candidate. This election will be decided by young people NewImproved Deal May 2016 #2
So can you find any GOP attack style anti Sanders adds ? factfinder_77 May 2016 #5
Is that supposed to make sense? bobbobbins01 May 2016 #9
I understood it just fine, typical obfuscation and not willing to talk about issues uponit7771 May 2016 #10
I'll be happy to talk about it. bobbobbins01 May 2016 #12
The question was where are the anti Sanders ads that are made like the GOP would make them? uponit7771 May 2016 #13
yet he couldn't win it in the primary because it is too conservative? yeah right DLCWIdem May 2016 #15
Who said that? Not me. bobbobbins01 May 2016 #16
Now that you mentioned it, what happened to tRumps post-presumptive nominee boost? Did he get one? SFnomad May 2016 #3
Yes, plus 4 - 5 and wall to wall coverage of meetings by the MSM uponit7771 May 2016 #11
Delusional coffeeAM May 2016 #4
Didn't our guru Mr. 538 tell us not to pay attention to pre-convention polling??? reformist2 May 2016 #6
Im not worried. Trend: latest opinion poll - Clinton 53,5 %, Sanders only 39,9 % factfinder_77 May 2016 #7
Wasnt John Kerry more qualified, also he ran in 2004.. so thats the 21st century Baobab May 2016 #8
"We" don't know anything of the sort. LWolf May 2016 #14
 

NewImproved Deal

(534 posts)
2. Yes, Sanders is the far stronger candidate. This election will be decided by young people
Mon May 16, 2016, 12:44 AM
May 2016

and Independents--not well-fed, amoral Yuppies...

bobbobbins01

(1,681 posts)
12. I'll be happy to talk about it.
Mon May 16, 2016, 04:59 AM
May 2016

Just tell me what it means. I love talking about the issues and welcome it.

uponit7771

(90,301 posts)
13. The question was where are the anti Sanders ads that are made like the GOP would make them?
Mon May 16, 2016, 05:07 AM
May 2016

... its relatively rhetorical seeing there aren't any

reformist2

(9,841 posts)
6. Didn't our guru Mr. 538 tell us not to pay attention to pre-convention polling???
Mon May 16, 2016, 12:57 AM
May 2016

What are you so worried about?
 

factfinder_77

(841 posts)
7. Im not worried. Trend: latest opinion poll - Clinton 53,5 %, Sanders only 39,9 %
Mon May 16, 2016, 12:59 AM
May 2016

Ipsos/Reuters 5/7 - 5/11 819 RV
Clinton 56 Sanders 41
Morning Consult 5/5 - 5/9 2,728 RV
Clinton 49 Sanders 40
NBC/SurveyMonkey 5/2 - 5/8 3,905 RV
Clinton 53 Sanders 41
Ipsos/Reuters 4/30 - 5/4 467 RV
Clinton 56 Sanders 41
Morning Consult 4/29 - 5/2 948 RV
Clinton 51 Sanders 38
CNN 4/28 - 5/1 405 RV
Clinton 51 Sanders 43
NBC/SurveyMonkey 4/25 - 5/1 4,418 RV
Clinton 54 Sanders 40
Morning Consult 4/26 - 4/29 906 RV
Clinton 49 Sanders 40
IBD/TIPP 4/22 - 4/28 355 RV
Clinton 49 Sanders 43
Ipsos/Reuters 4/23 - 4/27 796 RV
Clinton 53 Sanders 43

Baobab

(4,667 posts)
8. Wasnt John Kerry more qualified, also he ran in 2004.. so thats the 21st century
Mon May 16, 2016, 01:04 AM
May 2016

>she is the most qualified presidential candidate of the 21st century

LWolf

(46,179 posts)
14. "We" don't know anything of the sort.
Mon May 16, 2016, 08:47 AM
May 2016

Should the worst happen, and Clinton get the nomination, I don't believe she'll prevail in November.

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