2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumFor everybody who is concerned by the recent Quinnipiac polls, look at poll averages
A lot of Sanders and Trump supporters are saying that these recent Quinnipiac swing state polls prove that Secretary Clinton will lose in November because she's a 'weak candidate'. We know that that's not true, but take a look at some polling data. The media generally emphasize polls wherein Trump is winning, for some reason. Let's take a look at a lot of polls in battleground states.
This is Florida (Clinton +4.3): http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton-5635.html
This is Ohio (Clinton +3.0): http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/oh/ohio_trump_vs_clinton-5634.html
This is Pennsylvania (Clinton +7.0): http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_clinton-5633.html
This is Michigan (Clinton +10.5): http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mi/michigan_trump_vs_clinton-5533.html
This is North Carolina (Clinton +3.3): http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nc/north_carolina_trump_vs_clinton-5538.html
This is Wisconsin (Clinton +11.5): http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_trump_vs_clinton-5659.html
This is Georgia (Trump +4.7): http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ga/georgia_trump_vs_clinton-5741.html
This is Indiana (Trump +7.5): http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/in/indiana_trump_vs_clinton-5878.html
This is Missouri (Trump +7.0): http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mo/missouri_trump_vs_clinton-5609.html
And here's some national polling (Clinton +5.7): http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
What we see is that Clinton leads in all of these excepting three red states. The hope is that she can turn them blue. We can expect a post-presumptive nominee boost in polling come June 7, too. This election won't be easy for either side, but Clinton is certainly not a weak candidate and she is the most qualified presidential candidate of the 21st century.
bobbobbins01
(1,681 posts)Bernie even flips Georgia. He's the stronger candidate.
NewImproved Deal
(534 posts)and Independents--not well-fed, amoral Yuppies...
factfinder_77
(841 posts)bobbobbins01
(1,681 posts)Because it doesn't.
uponit7771
(90,301 posts)bobbobbins01
(1,681 posts)Just tell me what it means. I love talking about the issues and welcome it.
uponit7771
(90,301 posts)... its relatively rhetorical seeing there aren't any
DLCWIdem
(1,580 posts)bobbobbins01
(1,681 posts)He's not winning in the primary because of voter suppression.
SFnomad
(3,473 posts)uponit7771
(90,301 posts)coffeeAM
(180 posts)reformist2
(9,841 posts)What are you so worried about?
factfinder_77
(841 posts)Ipsos/Reuters 5/7 - 5/11 819 RV
Clinton 56 Sanders 41
Morning Consult 5/5 - 5/9 2,728 RV
Clinton 49 Sanders 40
NBC/SurveyMonkey 5/2 - 5/8 3,905 RV
Clinton 53 Sanders 41
Ipsos/Reuters 4/30 - 5/4 467 RV
Clinton 56 Sanders 41
Morning Consult 4/29 - 5/2 948 RV
Clinton 51 Sanders 38
CNN 4/28 - 5/1 405 RV
Clinton 51 Sanders 43
NBC/SurveyMonkey 4/25 - 5/1 4,418 RV
Clinton 54 Sanders 40
Morning Consult 4/26 - 4/29 906 RV
Clinton 49 Sanders 40
IBD/TIPP 4/22 - 4/28 355 RV
Clinton 49 Sanders 43
Ipsos/Reuters 4/23 - 4/27 796 RV
Clinton 53 Sanders 43
Baobab
(4,667 posts)>she is the most qualified presidential candidate of the 21st century
LWolf
(46,179 posts)Should the worst happen, and Clinton get the nomination, I don't believe she'll prevail in November.