15% of West Virginia Clinton voters say they will not vote for her in November.
Last edited Wed May 11, 2016, 03:15 PM - Edit history (1)
With all the talk here about the fact that many Sanders voters say they will be voting for Trump, I thought this would provide some more balanced perspective.
Of course there are going to be some Sanders voters who will choose Trump. Some voters are primarily voting "anti establishment." Some voters have trade (NAFTA/TPP) as their hot button issue, especially in areas where those policies have been seen to cost local jobs. Some people will simply never vote for Hillary. And to those Sanders voters who are independents rather than Dems, party allegiance is not an issue. So there are going to be some group of voters for whom Sanders and Trump are the preferred candidates, in one order or the other. And especially if only one of those two is on the ballot in November, you can expect them to choose that one. Of course not all of them (and Sanders and Clinton will both have to work to persuade as many more of them as they can), but some.
But this other exit poll result is a little more surprising. These are people who voted for Clinton in West Virginia, who presumably fully expect her to be on the ballot in November, and yet only 84% of them intend to vote for her in November, and a full 10% of them intend to vote for Trump. Maybe this last 10% are actually "chaos" voters -- they are independents who want Trump to win, and are voting for Hillary because they think she will be the easier candidate for Trump to beat. Other theories?
