2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBottom line on NY: Clinton increases her pledged delegate lead by 31
It's a setback, but not a fatal blow.
Csainvestor
(388 posts)Because Bernie won over 90% of every single county in ny he will pick up some more delegates.
Zynx
(21,328 posts)What does this even mean?
Land of Enchantment
(1,217 posts)Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)Counties mean nothing.
Tarc
(10,476 posts)I'm sorry, but in what universe did this happen?
Codeine
(25,586 posts)and this is the place that made "Blow up the moon" a Thing.
Gomez163
(2,039 posts)Gomez163
(2,039 posts)Codeine
(25,586 posts)Codeine
(25,586 posts)Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)CrowCityDem
(2,348 posts)Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)Adrahil
(13,340 posts)Helen Borg
(3,963 posts)And a ton of provisional ballots....
TMontoya
(369 posts)Do you really think they will hold a re-vote in NY and AZ? Get real.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Those numbers could change in a couple of Congressional Districts.
Proud Public Servant
(2,097 posts)Is win every single remaining contest by about the same margin as Hillary won NY. No biggie.
I love Bernie -- but I sure wish I didn't have to maintain a security clearance, because I'd love some of what you're smoking.
Corporate666
(587 posts)happened weeks ago when Bernie was ~300.
What people seem to not understand is that this is a timed and distance race. Bernie can't win just by winning every remaining state. He has to win each remaining state by a set margin or he won't catch up.
And each time he loses delegates to Clinton, or even if he fails to "cover the margin", his situation gets worse, because he has even less remaining states to make up the difference in.
There are only 1400 pledged delegates left to win. Bernie needs to win 59% of them in EVERY state going forward. That includes all 5 states next week where he is down in polls by double digits.
The reality is that one week from now, he will be down by over 300 delegates, and there will only be 1,000 delegates left at that point. He's already down in polls in CA and NJ - actually he's down HUGE in NJ, and CA/NJ make up 70% of all the remaining delegates.
He simply has no way forward. I mean, we know he will lose next week. We know he will lose NJ. So unless people think he is realistically going to win California by 81% to 19%, then he has ZERO chance.
And the above assumes that HRC's super delegates would switch to him - there's nothing showing that would necessarily happen.
Codeine
(25,586 posts)A Sanders supporter even THIS MORNING was musing about how he could catch up by winning PA and CT -- they honestly thought delegates get awarded winner-take-all. How out of the loop do you need to be to not get proportional allocation at this late date?
They're enraged, but they don't really understand what they're raging against.