Emerson - New York poll: Clinton + 18

[factfinder_77]

Clinton 56
Sanders 38

http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_b5e76b2074da42c997193908b170981b.pdf

The Democratic primary consisted of 325 likely primary voters, with a margin of error of +/-5.4% and weighted by age based on 2008 and 2004 exit polling.

Only 325 in the sample...credible stuff.

Senator Bernie Sanders has gained significant ground on Hillary Clinton in the upcoming New York primary, shaving off 30 points from the massive lead Clinton held in New York just three weeks ago. He now trails the former Secretary of State by 18 points (56% to 38%). In a March 17 ECPS poll, conducted in the days following Clinton’s decisive performance on Super Tuesday II, she was winning by 48 points (71% to 23%) among Democratic primary voters in New York.


Although Sanders picked up 6 points with African Americans and 23 points with Hispanics since the last ECPS poll, Clinton still has a better than 2-1 advantage with both groups.

African Americans favor her 72% to 28%, and Hispanics lean her way 68% to 32%. She also leads Sanders 48% to 43% among white Democratic voters, a group that has tended to favor him.

[merbex]

1. Using landlines only

Emerson polls ONLY use landlines........they have been all over the map because of that.

Grain of salt, LARGE grain of salt needs to be taken.

[stillwaiting]

2. Emerson has been HUGELY off in many states this year.

This type of poll does provide cover to TPTB for vote flipping though.

If they flip the votes, Emerson gets to be "right".

[factfinder_77]

4. Quinnipiac using both land lines and cell phones has HC + 12 also

And they have a larger sample: 693 likely Democratic voters

https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/ny/ny03312016_N39pgrw.pdf

Interviews made March 22 – 29, before BS meltdown.

[SheenaR]

6. BS Meltdown

It's been miss after miss for Clinton this week...

[DisgustipatedinCA]

11. You'll need to find a dumber crowd to have a chance of being believed.

I've only seen useless tools buy the line about a "meltdown". That may apply better to the lying pantsuit, since her numbers have plummeted from historic highs. It's still hers to lose, and I'm glad to see she's taking that seriously.

[BernieforPres2016]

12. Somebody that calls himself/herself "factfinder" talks about a BS meltdown?

Speaking of BS!

Welcome to Ignore.

[Motown_Johnny]

3. What do Lake and Palmer say? n/t

[closeupready]

5. (Pardon me, will you be here all week?)

[geek tragedy]

7. I think this is poll herding by Emerson, whose Clinton +48 poll was one of the worst this cycle.

The crosstab numbers all seem very plausible, but that doesn't mean very much.

[stillwaiting]

8. Welcome and bye!!!

We are not of the same tribe.

[mak3cats]

9. I heard on the radio this morning that Siena College...

...is conducting a state poll over the next few days, with the results being issued late next week. I'll wait for that one.