It’s Really Hard To Get Bernie Sanders 988 More Delegates
After a trio of landslide wins in Washington, Alaska and Hawaii on Saturday the best single day of his campaign Bernie Sanders narrowed his delegate deficit with Hillary Clinton. But he still has a lot of work to do. Sanders trails Clinton by 228 pledged delegates and will need 988 more a bit under 57 percent of those available to finish with the majority.
That alone wouldnt be enough to assure Sanders of the nomination because superdelegates could still swing things Hillary Clintons way in a close race, but put aside that not-so-small complication for now. The much bigger problem is that it isnt easy to see where Sanders gets those 988 delegates.
Its Really Hard To Get Bernie Sanders 988 More Delegates
Nate Silver shows what Bernie Sanders needs to get the nomination. This is just before the Wisconsin primary. Sanders was 2 delegates short of the target.
Nate's closing paragraph...
But things can change, and polls can be wrong and so its worth doing the math to see what winning 988 more delegates would look like for Sanders. Call it a path-of-least-implausibility. If you think Sanders can meet or exceed these targets, then you can say with a straight face that you think hell win the nomination. If you think theyre too good to be true, then you cant. Heres the Bernie-miracle path I came up with: