2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBernie won the majority of delegates last night, but Hillary group says she won.
This discussion thread was locked as off-topic by one_voice (a host of the 2016 Postmortem forum).
And they post in their own group as to medicate themselves.
DanTex
(20,709 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)have voted for Hillary over Bernie.
The OP can keep living in fantasyland.
stonecutter357
(12,697 posts)metroins
(2,550 posts)Hillary is on target, Bernie is further behind target.
The vast majority of us don't dislike Sanders. It's just disingenuous to suggest he's got a real, credible, path to the nomination.
Hillary is up in popular vote and delegates. It's just facts.
artyteacher
(598 posts)VulgarPoet
(2,872 posts)Agschmid
(28,749 posts)chervilant
(8,267 posts)of 42 responses. I think I am successfully using my IL.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)Cobalt Violet
(9,905 posts)Although supporting someone under fbi investigation that could lead to a indictment is stupid rather than delusional.
randome
(34,845 posts)[hr][font color="blue"][center]TECT in the name of the Representative approves of this post.[/center][/font][hr]
CalvinballPro
(1,019 posts)Sheepshank
(12,504 posts)lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)He won 71 delegates; she won 54. This is 1st-grade arithmetic. Apparently most reporters did not graduate 1st grade.
Thor_MN
(11,843 posts)the margin of victory in the remaining states has to be much greater than yesterday. Bernie did win the day, but not by a margin great enough to significantly cut into Clinton's lead.
Unless the delegate counts are much closer or flipped from the ratio they are now, the Super Delegates are going to go the way they have indicated. One can say they don't count yet, but absent an amazing comeback, they have already given an indication of what they will do.
I'm fine with either candidate and view things realistically. Sanders will need some incredible blowouts to not be in second place come the convention.
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)'cause that's what he got in Idaho and Utah last night.
For the three states combined, he got 31% margin.
And the upcoming states are even friendlier to Bernie.
On edit: I notice you deleted mention of the 18% margin he will need going forward.
thereismore
(13,326 posts)Thor_MN
(11,843 posts)I did not delete anything.
Sanders will need an incredible comeback to invoke the "Super Delegates don't count" mantra. I wish him luck in that, but will not be holding my breath. Like I said, I'm fine with either of them. I'm not a spoiled brat, "My way or I'm taking the ball home."
grasswire
(50,130 posts)stonecutter357
(12,697 posts)casperthegm
(643 posts)Should be simple math. What's the total for each candidate?
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)Arizona · 75 delegates
99% reporting · Clinton won and has 44 delegates, Sanders has 30
Idaho · 23 delegates
100% reporting · Sanders won and has 17 delegates, Clinton has 5
Utah · 33 delegates
99% reporting · Sanders won and has 24 delegates, Clinton has 5
https://www.google.com/search?q=bernie+delegatges&oq=bernie+delegatges&aqs=chrome..69i57.3343j0j1&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8#q=bernie+delegates&eob=m.09c7w0/D/3/full/m.09c7w0/g.11bx8sb_zm
casperthegm
(643 posts)Thanks for the info
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)... forgetting that he's still down by about 300 points.
Surya Gayatri
(15,445 posts)but, it sure can be a good laugh...
Dem2
(8,168 posts)I trashed both "specialty" groups and I never visited either.
I can think for myself without the peer pressure to conform.
MidwestTech
(170 posts)On Wed Mar 23, 2016, 09:12 AM an alert was sent on the following post:
Bernie won the majority of delegates last night, but Hillary group says she won.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511558805
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arcane1
(38,613 posts)I hope you're happy.
EmperorHasNoClothes
(4,797 posts)Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)I've never gotten around to getting banned there. Now to think of the best post to accomplish that with...
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)Oh, that's just adorable.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)Free clue: I'll be doing this solely because of countless Hillary acolytes (like you) who've treated me and other Bernie supporters with smug condescension, loyalty demands, and general asshattery. "As you sow..."
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)...but I know I didn't fire the first shots.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)whenever Bernie partisans complain about online vitriol
Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)Who ya got for the Tour d'France?
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)Kinda glad my racing days are over. Not that there has ever been nearly as much doping on the women's side: no money in it, so a lot less motivation.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)The truth is revealed.
Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)...it's not like I've been concealing anything. Payback's a...well...me. It's not like I pretend otherwise...although I do avoid first strikes.
Loudestlib
(980 posts)REASON FOR ALERT
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Poster is making implied threats against a fellow DUer, an obvious hide.
You served on a randomly-selected Jury of DU members which reviewed this post. The review was completed at Wed Mar 23, 2016, 11:44 AM, and the Jury voted 1-6 to LEAVE IT.
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Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)Well...except the one. And to the transparently obvious alert swarmer(s): better luck next time...bless your heart!
To be explicit: I'd never, ever threaten or commit physical violence upon anyone not actively trying to harm me or obviously about to.
progressoid
(49,991 posts)REASON FOR ALERT
This post is disruptive, hurtful, rude, insensitive, over-the-top, or otherwise inappropriate.
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Poster is threatening to harrass DUers on DU. THAT is the threat.
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Explanation: wut?
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Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)Can't wait...
And to whoever's stalking me, grow a fucking spine and PM me if you have a problem.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)But I clearly have no problem saying what I feel in the thread.
Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)No problem taking you at your word...
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)hack89
(39,171 posts)bobbobbins01
(1,681 posts)Including Democrats Abroad 2 days ago, he needed 57.5% and he has 57.6%. Not much of a buffer going forward, but it still puts him on pace, so he is hitting the appropriate numbers right now. Washington is going to be a real bellwether.
hack89
(39,171 posts)he is badly under performing.
bobbobbins01
(1,681 posts)So he's overperforming by .1%. Its the math!
hack89
(39,171 posts)because of how the delegates are distributed. He can win 57% of the delegates in the next couple of weeks and have it all wiped out by Hillary winning NY by anything over 50%. Margin of victory in big states is the key here. In any case, the required percentage goes up with every state that he fails to meet his target. And he has to win every state to even have a chance.
bobbobbins01
(1,681 posts)California alone has enough delegates to make up the difference. So even if Hillary takes 50% in NY, he could crush CA and end it right there. The possibilities are endless! Bernie outperformed UT and ID by something like 40-50%....who knows how NY and CA will look. Not to mention he bought himself a lot of time to campaign in those states. MI was won because they ran ads weeks in advance, OH was lost because they didn't until late in the game. I don't think you, me or anyone really knows how this will play out. But its fun to speculate.
hack89
(39,171 posts)Hillary right now is favored to win - you know as well as I do that Bernie does not do well in large states with diverse populations. Nothing is going to magically change that fact.
If he won CA by 20 percentage points he would net 115 delegates. He is not going to be anywhere near 200 delegates much less 115 delegates going into CA.
bobbobbins01
(1,681 posts)So saying she's favored to win isn't saying much, that number has probably changed dramatically by now...and there are plenty of other big states in play(most also with ancient polling) before then to make up the rest.
hack89
(39,171 posts)why would it change dramatically in Bernie's favor? It is a large state with an ethnically diverse population. Bernie does not do well in states like that. That is why he is not going to "crush" CA or NY.
bobbobbins01
(1,681 posts)If you haven't noticed, he tends to get at least a 10 point jump in the last 2 weeks before a vote, and there is still a good amount of time before then for him to campaign.
And he doesn't even need to crush is. Hillary people love to trot out Nate Silver predictions...well if you look at his path to victory for both Bernie and Hillary, neither wins the whole thing until CA. And Bernie will only need 14 more delegates than Hillary there to win if everything continues the way it is.
Its going to be a nail biter.
hack89
(39,171 posts)while Bernie is under performing? California decides it for Bernie only if he stays on that path. Right now is straying off it. Don't forget that his targets go up every time he fails to meet a target while Hillary's targets go down as she meets her. It becomes harder for Bernie and easier for Hillary.
bobbobbins01
(1,681 posts)And he is behind right now, but those projections take into account where he is right now. And it doesn't get harder for him, it gets easier because he is in friendlier territory. Hillary blew her wad already. Its just ask likely that Hillary will miss a target as it is he will at this point....its anyones game.
hack89
(39,171 posts)oberliner
(58,724 posts)How many did each candidate win?
Marr
(20,317 posts)oberliner
(58,724 posts)A link would be great.
I can't seem to find the official final results anywhere.
Marr
(20,317 posts)It was something I heard on the radio this morning. I haven't actually read anything with the numbers either as yet.
oberliner
(58,724 posts)It seems to confirm the numbers you provided.
Not sure how to link to it though (Google has each primary result listed).
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)Right on google, their own box, if you search "bernie delecgates"
Arizona · 75 delegates
99% reporting · Clinton won and has 44 delegates, Sanders has 30
Idaho · 23 delegates
100% reporting · Sanders won and has 17 delegates, Clinton has 5
Utah · 33 delegates
99% reporting · Sanders won and has 24 delegates, Clinton has 5
oberliner
(58,724 posts)With now all the precincts reporting.
The earlier numbers were incomplete.
Kaleva
(36,307 posts)phantom power
(25,966 posts)that to close the gap he needs to maintain a certain overall net delegate lead from here on out. He didn't hit that overall rate last night.
Autumn Colors
(2,379 posts)I believe he got +7 net delegates from that.
MariaThinks
(2,495 posts)EmperorHasNoClothes
(4,797 posts)71 for Bernie, 54 for Hillary
54 - 71 = 2???
Math.
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)most of them don't even reveal the numerical truth: Bernie won by 17 delegates.
We are truly through the looking glass.
New Earth
(9,745 posts)and they'll still say she 'won'.
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)At what point do numbers matter?
pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)They say a lot of what I consider to be nonsense
BernieforPres2016
(3,017 posts)If Bernie supporters didn't keep posting it. I have the Hillary supporters, including the mainstream media, on Ignore.
stonecutter357
(12,697 posts)NuclearDem
(16,184 posts)Still, she's going to come out behind in delegates. And you know what? That's just fine by me, because Bernie just blew through three of twenty-five remaining contests and only closed a three hundred plus delegate lead by six.
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)I haven't seen the delegate totals from yesterday's contests. I imagine some delegates are still outstanding.
grossproffit
(5,591 posts)asuhornets
(2,405 posts)she has not won yet.
lumberjack_jeff
(33,224 posts)Vote for Hillary, she's the only one that can win!
But she has shitty policies.
Doesn't matter! She's a winnah!
*Bernie wins 71 - 54*
See! The people have spoken! Hillary is a winner because of her awesome policies!
upaloopa
(11,417 posts)MrWendel
(1,881 posts)throwing a deck chair off the
desmiller
(747 posts)they're using the ooool' Tea Party approach when they lost. Perfect example: Chris McDaniel of Jones County, MS. When he making a speech that's nowhere near a concession speech, he was on the verge of crying. Laughed my ass off too. Good riddens to him.
shadowandblossom
(718 posts)or, it could happen, that someone passed on info with an error; but since do have over a 300 delegate lead we are feeling fine to be honest with you.
one_voice
(20,043 posts)disruptive meta is not allowed.