2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumClinton leads in 10 of 12 Early March Primaries - Public Policy Polling - Feb 17
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/02/clinton-leads-in-10-of-12-early-march-primaries-benefits-from-overwhelming-black-support.htmlNew Public Policy Polling surveys of the 12 states that will hold Democratic primaries for President between March 1st and 8th, conducted on behalf of American Family Voices, find Hillary Clinton leading the way in 10 of 12, with double digit leads in 9 of them. Bernie Sanders has an overwhelming lead in his home state of Vermont and also leads in Massachusetts. The race is close in Oklahoma where Clinton is ahead by just 2 points, but she has double digit leads in the other 9 states that will have primaries that week:
(more)
lunamagica
(9,967 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)All the way to the nomination!
John Poet
(2,510 posts)Had her up by nine in Iowa, didn't they?
Just sayin'.
spooky3
(34,450 posts)"One thing that will likely cause things to tighten up on Monday night is that O'Malley's supporters are far more likely to move to Sanders than Clinton at the sites where he fails to meet the 15% threshold. 57% of O'Malley voters say Sanders is their second choice to only 27% who say it's Clinton. We found something similar on our last poll, when O'Malley voters said they'd pick Sanders over Clinton 43/20. So just based on the reallocation of O'Malley voters, Sanders can expect to make up a couple points of his deficit."
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/polls/
Persondem
(1,936 posts)hoosierlib
(710 posts)Rank and percent of the population that African American;
1) Mississippi; 47%
2) Georgia; 31%
3) Louisiana 31%
5) Alabama 27%
9) Virginia 19%
10) Tennessee 17%
11) Arkansas 16%
13) Michigan 14%
19) Texas 12%
24) Massachusetts 7%
25) Oklahoma 7%
49) Vermont 1%
Once we get into late March, the scripts flips for Bernie...and with plenty of money, increasing Latino support and a few wins mixed in, this is going to a be long campaign...
The question is can Clinton secure the nomination before she is criminally referred by the FBI and becomes toxic...only time will tell...
Vote2016
(1,198 posts)DINOs and rightwingers rule!
Plus, didn't PPP say Sanders would barely beat Clinton by 5% in New Hampshire?