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Metric System

(6,048 posts)
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:29 PM Feb 2016

Vox: The entrance polls said Nevada’s Latinos voted for Bernie Sanders. That’s unlikely.

Hillary Clinton won the Nevada Democratic caucuses on Saturday. She did so thanks largely to her strength in Clark County — the home of Las Vegas, and the most heavily Latino part of the state.

That's important to note, because entrance polls showed Bernie Sanders winning among Latino voters — by a shockingly wide margin.

An early wave of entrance polling showed Sanders beating Clinton by 11 points with Latinos. A later wave showed him winning by 8.

What really happened? We might not ever know for sure. But if you look at the possible scenarios — and at the entrance and exit polls' record with Latinos — the most plausible conclusion is that the entrance polls didn't correctly predict Nevada's Latino vote.

Clinton won the most heavily Latino parts of the state

Continued at link:
http://www.vox.com/2016/2/20/11079660/latinos-nevada-sanders

13 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Vox: The entrance polls said Nevada’s Latinos voted for Bernie Sanders. That’s unlikely. (Original Post) Metric System Feb 2016 OP
A map here.... FrenchieCat Feb 2016 #1
More evidence. Thanks. Metric System Feb 2016 #2
Excellent book_worm Feb 2016 #4
Entrance polls at caucuses are not trustworthy book_worm Feb 2016 #3
Election results LexVegas Feb 2016 #5
Most likely a sampling error KingFlorez Feb 2016 #6
What a joke...next? TheProgressive Feb 2016 #7
Reality check... THEY DID Fearless Feb 2016 #8
Instead of looking at entrance polls why don't you look at real votes? book_worm Feb 2016 #10
Umm... those aren't votes. Votes show numbers. Fearless Feb 2016 #11
Has to be wrong based on actual results. DCBob Feb 2016 #9
Gee, exit polls were generally accepted as accurate until a certain STOLEN ELCTION in 2000. Odin2005 Feb 2016 #12
K&R Starry Messenger Feb 2016 #13

book_worm

(15,951 posts)
3. Entrance polls at caucuses are not trustworthy
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:34 PM
Feb 2016

so small of samples. Given that Bernie won the white vote I can't see how Hillary won by 5-6 points without winning the latino vote.

LexVegas

(6,095 posts)
5. Election results
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 11:36 PM
Feb 2016

In the 22 Latino-majority precincts in NV that have reported results so far, Hillary Clinton has won 60 percent of the delegates.

Odin2005

(53,521 posts)
12. Gee, exit polls were generally accepted as accurate until a certain STOLEN ELCTION in 2000.
Sun Feb 21, 2016, 12:19 AM
Feb 2016

Funny how the PTB have decided that they are now "unreliable"....

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