Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS: Obama Is Widening His Lead in Ohio (+10) and Florida (+9)

[TroyD]

OHIO - Obama +10

Obama - 53

Romney - 43

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FLORIDA - Obama +9

Obama - 53

Romney - 44

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September 26, 2012

COLUMBUS, Ohio — For weeks, Republicans in Ohio have been watching with worry that the state’s vital 18 electoral votes were trending away from Mitt Romney. The anxiety has been similar in Florida, where Republicans are concerned that President Obama is gaining the upper hand in the fight for the state’s 29 electoral votes.

Those fears are affirmed in the findings of the latest Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News polls of likely voters in both states, which show that Mr. Obama has widened his lead over Mr. Romney and is outperforming him on nearly every major campaign issue, even though about half said they were disappointed in Mr. Obama’s presidency.

The polls, along with interviews with supporters and advisers in the nation’s two largest battleground states, lay bare an increasingly urgent challenge facing Mr. Romney as he prepares for his next chance to move the race in his favor, at the first debate with Mr. Obama next week. Mr. Romney’s burden is no longer to win over undecided voters, but also to woo back the voters who seem to be growing a little comfortable with the idea of a second term for Mr. Obama.

SNIP

The New York Times, in collaboration with Quinnipiac University and CBS News, is tracking the presidential race with recurring polls in six states. In Ohio — which no Republican has won the presidency without — Mr. Obama is leading Mr. Romney 53 percent to 43 percent in the poll. In Florida, the president leads Mr. Romney 53 to 44 percent in the poll.

More:

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/26/us/politics/polls-show-obama-widening-lead-in-ohio-and-florida.html

[Tx4obama]

1. And Pennsylvania Obama 54 percent to Romney 42 percent (Obama +12)

DU LBN OP with CBS article with the same poll here: http://www.democraticunderground.com/1014245222

[TroyD]

3. Thanks - Didn't notice PA at first since the NYT didn't mention it till way down : )

PENNSYLVANIA - PRESIDENT [Obama +12]

Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS

Obama - 54

Romney - 42

[longship]

2. If this holds up, Romney is toast.

And bear in mind, approaching a 10 point spread means that it is outside the error bars. Plus, over 50 percent is the magic number. That means that there are likely insufficient undecideds to flip the poll, all other things being equal.

With these two states going this way, I do not see a path to victory for Governor Romney. He is doomed.

[King_Klonopin]

4. A margin that large also means they can't dismiss exit polls and get away with election theft

[TroyD]

5. It almost seems to good to be true to me

Some people are wondering if they have oversampled Democrats. I hope not.

I do notice that even Rasmussen had PA at Obama +12 this past week, so it's interesting that both Ras & Quinnipiac agree on that state .

The OH & FL numbers are higher than other pollsters though, so I'll be interested to see whether other polls pick up the same numbers later this week.

[tclambert]

6. Romney's investors are going to be really angry.

Time for him to arrange a golden parachute deal with his campaign finances.

[NCLefty]

7. Obama's gap is so wide,

he's shovel-ready! *BOOM!*






Yes... that was dumb... *slinks off in shame*...

[mgcgulfcoast]

8. hehe

romney has failed to make a case for voters to support him. its that simple.

[TroyD]

9. All Romney has left now are the debates

And the possibility of an October surprise.

If one of those 2 things doesn't save him, he's probably done.

[LovePeacock]

10. Democrats are still largely unsampled...

So if mainstream polls are starting to turn towards the President, it's a big deal because a large portion of democrats (African Americans and young people) do NOT participate in polls for whatever reason (reliance on cell phones; simply hanging up and not wanting to participate).

[TroyD]

12. But let's remember, these polls don't matter if we can't get people TO the polls

We have to make sure that racial minorities are not suppressed, and that other dishonest activity by the Republicans does not occur.

[LovePeacock]

15. Of course.

Believe me, I'm no optimist. The democrats are way too good at fucking up for me to give them any leeway.

[Blue Yorker]

11. GOP paging Gravis and Rasmussen

help!

[Jennicut]

13. This is Romney's problem right here:

"Sharon Whalen, 56, a former travel agent from Dade City who said she and her husband voted for Senator John McCain of Arizona, the Republican nominee, in 2008, said she had developed “a very bad impression of Romney.” She said she intended to support Mr. Obama and was troubled by the Republican ticket’s plan for Medicare.

“There’s just something about him I don’t trust,” said Ms. Whalen, a poll respondent who spoke in a follow-up interview. “It’s not so much that I don’t believe what he is saying, but I just don’t think he’s for the middle and lower class. He’s more for helping the rich.”"

He is toast with these people. They don't trust them.

And this guy:

"Mr. Romney’s comments about the “47 percent” of Americans seemed to be undercutting him with other working-class voters here. “This last thing, where he was going on about the 47 percent who are dependent on government, is hard to swallow,” said Kenneth Myers, a Republican who lives in Mansfield and is unemployed."

He is having issues with working class Republicans in these areas. Republicans! Romney is a horrible candidate.

[DCBob]

14. You sure are fast to post these polls.

How do get them so quickly?

BTW, this is great news. We are very close to if not already outside the "margin of cheating".