Environment & Energy
Related: About this forumClimate change makes freak Siberian heat 600 times likelier
Related: Prolonged Siberian heat attributed to climate change (UK Met Office)
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Source: Associated Press
Climate change makes freak Siberian heat 600 times likelier
By SETH BORENSTEIN
July 15, 2020
Nearly impossible without man-made global warming, this years freak Siberian heat wave is producing climate changes most flagrant footprint of extreme weather, a new flash study says.
International scientists released a study Wednesday that found the greenhouse effect multiplied the chance of the regions prolonged heat by at least 600 times, and maybe tens of thousands of times. In the study, which has not yet gone through peer review, the team looked at Siberia from January to June, including a day that hit 100 degrees (38 degrees Celsius) for a new Arctic record.
Scientists from the United Kingdom, Russia, France, Netherlands, Germany and Switzerland used 70 climate models running thousands of complex simulations comparing current conditions to a world without man-made warming from the burning of coal, oil and gas. They found that without climate change the type of prolonged heat that hit Siberia would happen once in 80,000 years, effectively impossible without human influence, said study lead author Andrew Ciavarella, a scientist at the UK Met Office.
This study, coordinated by World Weather Attribution, was done in two weeks and hasnt yet been put through the microscope of peer review and published in a major scientific journal. But the researchers who specialize in these real-time studies to search for fingerprints of climate change in extreme events usually do get their work later published in a peer-reviewed journal and use methods that outside scientists say are standard and proven. World Weather Attributions past work has found some weather extremes were not triggered by climate change.
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Read more: https://apnews.com/527ac4ec97e62a49a55af7c77e96d3c8
Dem2theMax
(9,656 posts)Oh, wait.
tecelote
(5,122 posts)Mother Nature. She's real and her wrath will be felt.
diverdownjt
(703 posts)More extreme flooding is coming...more extreme hurricanes...
I hope I live high enough.....Denver , in case you were wondering.
tecelote
(5,122 posts)If Denver has oceanfront property, we're beyond help.
Damn Yellowdawg Dem
(14 posts)People who believe that are cyc in the head!
Mercurian
(48 posts)Of methane and CO2 from 100,000+ years of rotting peat kept partially frozen, now finally thawing out. That's the environmental elephant in the room.