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Related: About this forumWorld Trade Drops Most Since Financial Crisis
World Trade Drops Most Since Financial Crisis
by Wolf Richter July 22, 2015
Maybe we shouldnt take our daily corporate samples too seriously. Maybe they dont adequately represent the global economy. So IBMs revenues last quarter plunged 13% from a year ago. It blamed China and the dollar, among other culprits. But IBMs revenues have dropped for 13 quarters in a row. Its a normal IBM condition and not a reflection of the global economy.
A whole slew of other tech companies chimed in with either disappointing revenues or disappointing outlooks, or both, each blaming a variety of issues, among them China and the dollar. Chip maker Qualcomm just reported a 14% plunge in its quarterly revenues. Its having trouble in the smartphone market and will lay off a bunch of people. But maybe theyre just running into tougher competitors, rather than a lousy global economy. And the PC business, which is cratering, is dragging down all those involved. Thats structural and has little to do with the state of the global economy.
Then theres industrial giant United Technology which reported that its revenues last quarter dropped 5%. Today Caterpillar reported that global machine sales plunged 15% in June compared to a year ago, after having dropped 12% in May and 11% in April, In Asia, machine sales plunged 19%, in Latin America 50%. And in booming North America? Down 5%, after having been up for the prior two months.
So CAT is facing Japanese, Chinese, and German competitors. Its having to slug it out with them in China precisely when China is slowing. So it may be just CAT thats having a hard time.
But dont look at energy. Energy is getting clobbered .
So maybe were cherry-picking negative data. There are companies with actual revenue increases and positive outlooks, like Equifax, the credit bureau, which just reported a 10% jump in revenues (14% in local currency, as it says). Consumer borrowing is king, and Equifax expedites the process.
So what the heck is going on? .....................(more)
http://wolfstreet.com/2015/07/22/global-trade-drops-most-since-2009-cpb-merchandise-world-trade-monitor/
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World Trade Drops Most Since Financial Crisis (Original Post)
marmar
Jul 2015
OP
Warpy
(111,429 posts)1. Nobody's got money to spend
Now just what the hell did they expect when they chopped our wages down to nothing to give everything to a few old rich guys?
Abroad, people are watching the Greeks and what's being done to them and getting nervous. The Chinese stock miracle has come back to earth and their real estate bubble is due to pop. About all that's continuing to sell is real estate in big cities, being bid up to the stratosphere by people who think it will only go up. Oh, and interest only loans are back in California.
It's all getting ready to go bust again and we know it. Nothing is there to support any sort of recovery. Economies run from the bottom up and there's no "there" there.