Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumNate Silver gives Hillary Clinton 93% odds of beating Bernie Sanders
Nate is always updating his numbers and has been very accurate http://www.dailynewsbin.com/news/nate-silver-gives-hillary-clinton-93-odds-of-beating-bernie-sanders/22313/
Silvers latest missive serves in part as a defense of Bernie Sanders against those who are attempting to paint him as merely being the Donald Trump of the left. He points to several key differences in what they stand for and how theyve approached the election, but he also points out whats obvious to anyone who studies the national polls rather than relying on misleading headline soundbites: Bernie is behind Hillary by about 20 percentage points in national polls that include Joe Biden, and by 30 points in polls that dont. In other words, her massive lead is still massive, and despite the massive media hype over the summer, little has changed in terms of actual popularity. He goes on to handicap the odds in both primaries.
What Sanders and Trump have in common is theyre both unlikely to be nominated, he males clear before adding If I were laying odds, Id put either one at something like 15-1 or 20-1 against. For those with a calculator handy, that means hes giving Hillary Clinton a 93% (15-1) to 95% (20-1) chance of winning the democratic party primary. In case his message wasnt clear enough, Nate Silver goes on to state that Bernie Sanders is unlikely to be nominated and if he did somehow win the nomination, he would be unlikely to prevail next November. In other words, this is still Hillary Clintons race to lose.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,211 posts)Kath1
(4,309 posts)Hillary has what it takes to win in the GE.
Tommy2Tone
(1,307 posts)She does well with Dems and is going to wipe out the competition with people of color, independents and women.
Kath1
(4,309 posts)Everyone seems to have a favorable view of Hillary except, of course, the hard right wingers. The 20/30 something-age women I smoke-break with all support Hillary.
DU is not the country. All the BS support here is not what is really going on.
Tommy2Tone
(1,307 posts)A real shocker is one of the most outspoken tea party guys is mad because his wife told him she is going to vote for Hillary.
Turns out she works in a huge office as some kind of manager and a few months ago she discovered she is the lowest paid manager of her group. The others are all men and the only reason she knows is when one of her friends quit she told her. All this despite consistently getting the highest performance reviews in the office. Now she is a Hillary fan.
I know I am off subject but this lady proves a point I have with the right. They only feel empathy when it hits home. The above lady was happy as a bug and living in ignorance. When her eyes were open she did a 180 turn.
Kath1
(4,309 posts)I was blissfully ignorant until the Iraq war, that I thought was stupid, started in 2003. Husband was a conservative, big time and my marriage was falling apart. I went to the March For Women's Lives and came out a changed person. Better late than never. And I am very happy as a liberal divorcee.
Gothmog
(144,005 posts)riversedge
(69,727 posts)Jason Huh
(36 posts)2106???
stonecutter357
(12,682 posts)Good
Starry Messenger
(32,342 posts)PJMcK
(21,921 posts)K&R
Rose Siding
(32,623 posts)is kind.
Once the national media/gop turned their sights on him, his support would go down to Ralph Nader levels.