If all of the Democratic US Senate Incumbents up for re-election in 2018 win re-election this year,
The likelihood of some of them holding onto their seats in 2024 is 50-50.
Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election likely to stay Democratic
AZ(Sinema-D)
CA(OPEN-Feinstein-D)I am assuming DiFi serves out her term.
CT(Murphy-D)
DE(OPEN-Carper-D) Lisa Blunt Rochester-D
FL(OPEN-Nelson-D) Stephanie Murphy-D
HI(OPEN-Hirono-D) Tulsi Gabbard-D
ME(OPEN-King-I/D)Hannah Pingree-D
MD(OPEN-Cardin-D) Anthony Brown-D
MA(Warren-D)
MI(Stabenow-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
MO(McCaskill-D)
MT(Tester-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
ND(Heitkamp-D)
OH(Brown-D)
PA(Casey-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
VT(OPEN-Sanders-I/D) David Zuckerman-P/D
VA(Kaine-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
WV(Manchin-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
Democratic held US Senate seats up in 2024 likely to flip
IN(Donnelly-D)Eric Holcomb-R
TN(OPEN Bredesen-D) Beth Harwell-R
Red State Democratic incumbent US Senators MO(McCaskill-D),MT(Tester-D)ND(Heitkamp-D)and WV(Manchin-D) win re-election in 2024 due to weak Republican opposition.