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appalachiablue

(41,056 posts)
Sat Mar 28, 2020, 12:00 AM Mar 2020

WA Update: Inslee's Washington Starting To Flatten The Curve: New UW Study, 81K May Die Nationwide

- 'Jay Inslee's Washington Is Starting To Flatten The Curve - New UW Study: 81,000 May Die Nationwide,' Lefty Coaster, Daily Kos 3/27/20.



Back on March 17 (St Patrick’s Day) Governor Inslee ordered a statewide restaurant, bar shutdown, closed schools, and limited the size of public gatherings. Those social distancing steps are starting to bear fruit, as hospitals are now seeing the rate of new COVID-19 admissions are slowing.

Where coronavirus outbreak started in Washington state, officials see hope as cases appear to be leveling off. By Robert Klemko

KIRKLAND, Wash. —The suburban hospital that handled the first onslaught of coronavirus patients weeks ago — a crush of seriously ill and dying nursing home residents that signaled the beginning of the national health crisis — is now offering cautious optimism to people across the United States who are searching for an end to the springtime nightmare: They believe they might have flattened the curve here.

State authorities said there have been 2,580 positive cases and 132 deaths, and as testing in Washington has ramped up, the percentage of positive cases has remained low — holding at about 7 percent.

“We know this is still a dire challenge, we know we have not turned the corner and we are not even close to the end of this battle, but we do think there is some evidence that our community mitigation strategy — to close schools, restaurants and theaters, to prohibit gatherings — we think these things have slowed the rate of increase in King, Snohomish and Pierce counties,” Inslee said during a news conference Thursday, pointing to a graph showing Washington’s rate of new cases beginning to flatten while most other states trend upward.

“It is a glimmer of hope,” Inslee said. “This is suggestive that some of the things we’re doing together is having some very modest improvement. The things we did two weeks ago are now appearing in our hospitals.”

This graph shows the progress we are making here in Washington to flatten the curve.
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I’m worried about emerging situations in New Orleans, Dallas, Atlanta, Miami, Detroit, Chicago, Philadelphia, among others. In China no province outside Hubei ever had more than 1,500 cases. In U.S. 11 states already hit that total. Our epidemic is likely to be national in scope. pic.twitter.com/jfN6YYRT07
— Scott Gottlieb, MD (@ScottGottliebMD) March 27, 2020
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- UW Model Says Social Distancing Is Starting To Work — But Still Projects 1,400 Coronavirus Deaths In The State, By Sandi Doughton

A new analysis from the University of Washington projects that even with strict social distancing from coast to coast, more than 81,000 people in the U.S. — and more than 1,400 in Washington state — could die from COVID-19 by the first of July.

Hospitals and intensive care units across the country are likely to be overwhelmed beginning in the second week of April.

Modeling from the UW’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) forecasts that hospitalizations will generally peak in mid-April, with 64,000 more patients than licensed beds nationwide. The shortfall in ICU beds is estimated at more than 17,000. Demand will be much higher if all states do not adopt and maintain social distancing, says the report, which also examines the anticipated strain on medical systems for every state...

Read More, https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/3/27/1931798/-Good-News-Jay-Inslee-s-Washington-is-starting-to-flatten-the-curve

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WA Update: Inslee's Washington Starting To Flatten The Curve: New UW Study, 81K May Die Nationwide (Original Post) appalachiablue Mar 2020 OP
K & R! Iliyah Mar 2020 #1
Some decent news, fingers crossed! appalachiablue Mar 2020 #2
I'm with you on that note! 💜 sprinkleeninow Mar 2020 #4
I "hacked into" my husband's FB today and cilla4progress Mar 2020 #3
Good news DarthDem Mar 2020 #5
We will pass 2000 today Marrah_Goodman Mar 2020 #6

cilla4progress

(24,589 posts)
3. I "hacked into" my husband's FB today and
Sat Mar 28, 2020, 01:25 AM
Mar 2020

said something nice about my Gov. Inslee.

Got all positive responses except one person said Inslee was a moron.

Not engaging.

Marrah_Goodman

(1,586 posts)
6. We will pass 2000 today
Sat Mar 28, 2020, 09:11 AM
Mar 2020

A couple days ago we were under 1000- I think the number will be much higher then 81,000. We waited to long to contain the spread and in many places we are still not containing it. Even in shelter at home states we have people going out every day to multiple stores, banks, gas stations, take out places.

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