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tgards79

(1,415 posts)
Tue Oct 16, 2018, 01:07 PM Oct 2018

BTRTN Latest Midterms Snapshot: Freight Trains Running in Different Directions

A split decision seems more likely than ever:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/10/btrtn-latest-midterms-snapshot-freight.html


"...the House is a national game, with every seat on the ballot, and the national mood is ugly and, on balance, anti-Trump. Suburban women across the country are fed up, energized, and out for blood, and woe to the GOP incumbents in their paths – that is, those that chose to stay and fight. (So many others ran for the hills and retired from their contested seats rather than face the music.) The generic ballot lead for the Democrats is now at a whopping +9, a chasm of a gap, and that lead has held (even increased) in the face of the “Kavanaugh Factor” that supposedly has energized the GOP base. It surely has, but it also galvanized the long-energized, better organized and better funded Dems.

The Senate, on the other hand, is a local fight, largely being fought on Democratic terrain. And the Democrats will win most of these elections..."

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