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mahatmakanejeeves

(57,738 posts)
Thu Jul 30, 2020, 09:08 AM Jul 2020

U.S. Jobless Claims Rise a Second Week in Sign of Growing Risks

Source: Bloomberg News

Markets
U.S. Jobless Claims Rise a Second Week in Sign of Growing Risks
By Olivia Rockeman
July 30, 2020, 8:33 AM EDT Updated on July 30, 2020, 9:00 AM EDT

-- State continuing claims also increase by most since early May
-- Congress may let $600 weekly benefit expire without deal

The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits increased for a second straight week, a sign the economic rebound is increasingly at risk with Congress poised to potentially let supplemental $600 payments expire.

Initial claims through regular state programs rose to 1.43 million in the week ended July 25, up 12,000 from the prior week, a Labor Department report showed Thursday. There were 17 million Americans filing for ongoing benefits through those programs in the period ended July 18, up 867,000 from the prior week -- the largest increase since early May.

{snip}

Read more: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-07-30/u-s-jobless-claims-rise-a-second-week-in-sign-of-growing-risks



From the source:

>>>>>
News Release
Connect with DOL at https://blog.dol.gov

TRANSMISSION OF MATERIALS IN THIS RELEASE IS EMBARGOED UNTIL
8:30 A.M. (Eastern) Thursday, July 30, 2020
COVID-19 Impact

The COVID-19 virus continues to impact the number of initial claims and insured unemployment. This report includes
information on claimants filing Pandemic Unemployment Assistance and Pandemic Emergency Unemployment
Compensation claims.

UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE WEEKLY CLAIMS
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA

In the week ending July 25, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 1,434,000, an increase of 12,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 6,000 from 1,416,000 to 1,422,000. The 4-week moving average was 1,368,500, an increase of 6,500 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up by 1,750 from 1,360,250 to 1,362,000.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 11.6 percent for the week ending July 18, an increase of 0.5 percentage point from the previous week's unrevised rate. The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending July 18 was 17,018,000, an increase of 867,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 46,000 from 16,197,000 to 16,151,000. The 4-week moving average was 17,058,250, a decrease of 435,500 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised down by 11,500 from 17,505,250 to 17,493,750.

{Snip the rest of the eleven-page release.}
>>>>>
7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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U.S. Jobless Claims Rise a Second Week in Sign of Growing Risks (Original Post) mahatmakanejeeves Jul 2020 OP
But somehow Proud liberal 80 Jul 2020 #1
We are headed to Dickensian America, Free Market Republicans will do nothing to help people bucolic_frolic Jul 2020 #2
That leaves out about 44% of the people claiming benefits - it's 30.2 million in all programs progree Jul 2020 #3
Thanks, and good morning. NT mahatmakanejeeves Jul 2020 #4
Democrats have Trump/Republicans by the balls, gab13by13 Jul 2020 #5
Not really. The GOP already Roc2020 Jul 2020 #7
people will still be unempoyed when dumped from unemployment check limit. Sunlei Jul 2020 #6

bucolic_frolic

(43,479 posts)
2. We are headed to Dickensian America, Free Market Republicans will do nothing to help people
Thu Jul 30, 2020, 09:14 AM
Jul 2020

They are burning America to the ground.

progree

(10,939 posts)
3. That leaves out about 44% of the people claiming benefits - it's 30.2 million in all programs
Thu Jul 30, 2020, 09:42 AM
Jul 2020
https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf --
The total number of people claiming benefits in all programs for the week ending July 11 was 30,202,498, a decrease of 1,601,699 from the previous week. There were 1,722,040 persons claiming benefits in all programs in the comparable week in 2019.


The above is the latest. I don't know why they have a 2 week lag in this number, but they do. This includes people collecting benefits under the federal programs including the Pandemic Unemployment Assistance (PUA) program. And no, that's not the $600/week check thing. No, there isn't double-counting. The PUA program is for gig and contract workers who are not eligible for the state unemployment insurance programs.

So people, please please, I beg of you all, please. It's not 17.0 million, please get that number out of your heads. Its 30.2 million. ALL unemployed people matter.

From last Thursday (7 days ago):
https://www.democraticunderground.com/111688903

Media Continues to Misreport Unemployment: 31.8 Million People on State & Federal Unemployment Insurance. Week 18 of U.S. Labor Market Collapse
by Wolf Richter • Jul 23, 2020 •

I get tired of reporters or bots who don’t read beyond the 2nd paragraph of Labor Department press releases. 2.35 million initial state and federal unemployment claims. PUA claims (gig workers) now 41% of total unemployment. 20% of labor force on unemployment insurance.
By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET.

It just doesn’t let up. An astounding number of newly laid-off workers keeps filing for unemployment benefits week after week and pile on top of the people already unemployed. And the number of people who started working again isn’t big enough to make a visible dent in the curve.

If you read this morning or heard on the radio that 16.2 million people were claiming unemployment insurance – the “continued claims” – and you thought that there were only 16.2 million people who claimed unemployment benefits, you fell victim to lazy misreporting in the media, by reporters or bots that didn’t read the Labor Department’s press release beyond the second paragraph.

Those 16.2 million were only the claims under state programs, and do not include the claims under federal programs. All combined, there were 31.8 million people on the unemployment rolls. That’s what the Labor Department reported further down in the press release.

There is a huge difference between 16.2 million and 31.8 million unemployed people! ...............(more)

https://wolfstreet.com/2020/07/23/media-continues-to-misreport-unemployment-claims-31-8-million-people-on-state-federal-unemployment-insurance-week-18-of-u-s-labor-market-collapse/



gab13by13

(21,493 posts)
5. Democrats have Trump/Republicans by the balls,
Thu Jul 30, 2020, 11:28 AM
Jul 2020

I'm talking about getting the Hero's Act passed. I'm talking about trashing the 1.75 billion dollars in the Senate Bill to keep the FBI headquarters next to Trump's hotel, I'm talking about removing the provision from the Senate Bill that allows corporations to kill people and then can't be sued effective until 2024. I'm talking about trashing the 200 dollar added unemployment in the Senate Bill and keeping the 600 dollar benefit in the Hero's Act. Democrats have the Trump party's balls in a vise.

Stand strong Dems

Roc2020

(1,619 posts)
7. Not really. The GOP already
Thu Jul 30, 2020, 12:17 PM
Jul 2020

knows they are going to get sand blasted in the election. The best they can do right now is hang on to any motivation that the 30-35% base has to go to vote. Voting for another 3 trillion stimulus may collapse that already low support.

Sunlei

(22,651 posts)
6. people will still be unempoyed when dumped from unemployment check limit.
Thu Jul 30, 2020, 11:42 AM
Jul 2020

The maximum amount of Texas unemployment insurance is 26 weeks. For people that qualify, the Pandemic Unemployment Assistance can extend benefits to a maximum of 39 weeks through December 31, 2020


This pandemic isn't going away this year. Many corporations have set work from home to Jan/February 2021. They also may close their major facility offices permanently. That's thousands of local jobs and local taxes disappearing forever.

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