New York could see apex of hospital demand in 21 days, governor says

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

Source: Reuters

March 27 (Reuters) - New York could see a peak in the demand for hospital capacity in three weeks due to the coronavirus, and is planning to build a total of 8 temporary hospitals to meet the surge, Governor Andrew Cuomo told a news conference on Friday.

Cuomo, speaking against a backdrop of makeshift hospital beds at the Jacob K. Javits Convention Center in Manhattan, also said schools should remain closed for another two weeks until April 15th.

The governor has become a leading national voice on the coronavirus pandemic as the state has accounted for roughly one-third of the national death toll and half the known number of cases.

Cuomo said 44,635 people have tested positive in New York, up about 7,400 from Thursday, and that 519 New Yorkers have died from the virus, up from the previous day's total of 385 deaths.



Read more: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/new-york-could-see-apex-of-hospital-demand-in-21-days-governor-says/ar-BB11NTMl?li=BBnb7Kz

[RockRaven]

1. They're already putting 2 patients on the same vent, and peak isn't for 3 more weeks...

People are going to start dying from lack of mechanical ventilation, or as a consequence of these desperate improvisations, soon.

[NickB79]

4. Trump already said New York doesn't need more ventilators

Why are you questioning Dear Leader?

[Bernardo de La Paz]

7. Is that why he invoked the DPA to force GM to make ventilators?

[NickB79]

8. Those are for the red states, silly

His experts already told him Gov Cuomo is wrong.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

9. Right, and is why he directed the Feds to outbid the blue states for ventilators on the market

He said he wouldn't help states when Washington, California, and especially New York said they need them. He said they should buy them on open markets. Then feds have been outbidding states for them. But he will deny he directed them to do so.

Later, when it starts biting the red states, he will dramatically say that now is the time for federal government to provide them.

It is funny how easily trumpanzees and Republicons embrace socialism that benefits them. Especially corporate welfare.

[jimfields33]

2. That's incredible

Everyone thought 14 days was perfect. Looks like even staying in your home for 30 days isn’t enough to protect you. I added the 7 we already have been in the house to the 21 days. What a mess.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

6. No. It's credible. Don't think it cant happen. University of Washington reputable, for example. nt

[bronxiteforever]

3. Kick

[Bernardo de La Paz]

5. It fits with projections from IHME of peak nationally of deaths, around April 15.

Key phrase: "The projections assume the continuation of strong social distancing measures and other protective measures."

https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

Projecting US peak deaths around April 15 at about 2300 per day in range of 1200 to 5000 per day.
Projecting 81,000 US deaths in range of 40K to 160K.

IHME = Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation, at University of Washington
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki%2FInstitute_for_Health_Metrics_and_Evaluation

[TomCADem]

10. Maximum of 45,000 Beds. 11,000 Ventilators

It is too bad that neither the CDC or NY State actually publish their projections and models. For example, UW publicly discloses their data and it shows a maximum possible demand of 45,000 Beds. 11,000 Ventilators for New York.

http://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

I know Cuomo wants to be conservative, but there are other areas of the country in desperate demand for ventilators.

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

11. Right now New York has about five times the number of COVID-19 cases than the next state, New Jersey

https://www.bing.com/covid

Though your link says they need 4,141 ventilators.

[TomCADem]

12. But Should CDC and NY State Publish Their Projections?

I know that folks are worried that their projections may prove too low or too high, but it would help sort out the basis for everyone claims. Finally, a reasonable estimate of what the numbers will look like under different scenarios might help people adequately prepare for whats to come.

Even with social distancing and closure measures in effect, we can still expect about 80,000 deaths. Of course, if Trump gets his way, these numbers could sky rocket.