Coronavirus death toll leaps in China's Hubei province

[ffr]

Source: Reuters

The Chinese province at the epicenter of the coronavirus outbreak reported a record rise in the death toll on Thursday, as global health experts warned the epidemic could get far worse before it is brought under control.

Health officials in Hubei province said 242 people had died from the flu-like virus on Wednesday, the fastest rise in the daily count since the pathogen was identified in December, and bringing the total number of deaths in the province to 1,310. The previous record rise in the toll was 103 on Feb. 10.
<snip>

But the 2,015 new confirmed cases reported in mainland China on Wednesday was dwarfed by the 14,840 new cases reported in Hubei alone on Thursday, when provincial officials said they had adopted a new methodology for counting infections.

Read more: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-health/coronavirus-death-toll-leaps-in-chinas-hubei-province-idUSKBN207025

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CNBC clarified Thursday's numbers this way:

The province said it is starting to include “clinically diagnosed” cases in its figures and that 13,332 of the new cases fall under that classification.

The government said that a total of 1,310 people have died in the province and that 48,206 people have been infected in the region.

[OAITW r.2.0]

1. Most disconcerting.

I have friends in China and there is palatable concern about an epidemic.

[ffr]

2. Had a friend inform me his side business is shut down until the factories re-open in China

He's looked to India, but he's going to lose about $30K in revenue.

[OAITW r.2.0]

3. I work with companies in China and India.

Last edited Wed Feb 12, 2020, 10:52 PM - Edit history (1)

China has been gut punched by the tariffs and now the corona-virus over the last year.

Wuhan is real close to Shanghai....I wonder how infected Shanghai is?

[CountAllVotes]

6. Shanghai is on lockdown

Best I know it has been for over a week.

It is so difficult to know wtf is going on in China!

[OAITW r.2.0]

7. I imagine it is. A lot of heavy industry/automotive factories in this region. What a mess for

the world.

[herding cats]

4. If a CT scan meets the criteria, they're now counted before the testing comes back.

Which should bring down the fatality rate and give us a better picture of the virus' true patterns.

Basically, this counts many more of the mild cases than before.

[58Sunliner]

13. I don't really consider pneumonia a mild presentation.

[yaesu]

5. "before it is brought under control." of coarse it will get worse while they are working to control

it, I believe they will control it, don't see any reason why they can't. China has the people & the resources to do this. If this happened 20, 30 yrs ago they would be FUBAR.

[OAITW r.2.0]

8. Actually, had this virus broke out in, say, Atlanta, I suspect that we'd have had a much slower

reaction to the virus than the Chinese Government has done They are very good at mass health containment and much more reactive then we are.

[Drahthaardogs]

9. It will not be controlled, the Ro 4 is insane

It is ridiculously contagious.

[denem]

10. The Chinese were lying to us.

Hopefully, this is closer to the real numbers.

[patphil]

11. I was pretty certain the numbers coming out of China were way low.

My guess is that we still don't have anywhere near a true accounting of the extent of the Coronavirus epidemic there.

Another country that will need to be looked at is North Korea.
That place is a black box for information, and their health care is miserable.
Add to that a population that is underfed and you have a recipe for even greater infection rates and death tolls.
And, we know there is travel between the two countries at many points along their 880 mile long border.

[58Sunliner]

12. Wow. I read it right the first time. 13,332 cases of what would be pneumonia.

Last edited Thu Feb 13, 2020, 10:36 AM - Edit history (2)

"As a result, another new 14,840 cases were reported in the central province on Thursday, from 2,015 new cases nationwide a day earlier. But excluding cases confirmed using the new methods, the number of new cases rose by only 1,508." If they are using a CT scan then they are diagnosing pneumonia which is not a mild presentation of this infection.The virus inhibits the cilia in the airways from functioning, which helps the lungs to get rid of infection. This could be unilateral or bilateral pneumo, but this virus can progress rapidly to the patient needing O2, mech ventilation and dialysis. Not good at all. I hope that drug (remdevisir) gets mass produced and they have a vaccine asap. Of course China wants to patent the drug, even though they didn't create it. And Gilead has to allow them rather than fight it. What bullshit. Thanks Chinese govt. Maybe if you had shut down the damned markets that put people at risk this may not have happened.