ADP says 291,000 private-sector jobs created in January, largest gain in 4 years
Source: MarketWatch
ADP says 291,000 private-sector jobs created in January, largest gain in 4 years
Published: Feb 5, 2020 9:57 a.m. ET
Warm weather 'juiced' the data, Moody's Zandi says
By GREG ROBB
SENIOR ECONOMICS REPORTER
The numbers: Private-sector employment surged 291,000 in January, Automatic Data Processing Inc. reported Wednesday. The gain was well above forecasts from economists surveyed by Econoday who expected a gain of 154,000. It was the largest increase since May 2015.
What happened: Small businesses added 94,000 jobs in January, ADP said. Medium-sized businesses added 128,000 and large companies added 69,000
There were broad gains across sectors. According to data on 10 major industries tracked by ADP, leisure and hospitality had the biggest gain in January. Education also had a strong gain.
Only mining had a small decline.
Big picture: Economists note there has been a big gap recently between ADP and government data, so the strong ADP reading might not lead to many upward estimates for job growth. According to a MarketWatch survey, economists expect 165,000 job gains in January and the unemployment rate to hold steady at 3.5%, a 50-year low.
Most economists expects a slower pace of job growth as the year progresses.
Read more: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/adp-says-291000-private-sector-jobs-created-in-january-largest-gain-in-4-years-2020-02-05
I don't know how I forgot to post this.
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JANUARY 2020
ADP National Employment Report
Private-sector employment increased by 291,000 from December to January, on a seasonally adjusted basis.
https://www.adpemploymentreport.com/2020/January/NER/NER-January-2020.aspx
bucolic_frolic
(43,146 posts)Help wanted in my region is a quarter of what it was in September. Businesses are still closing, even as new shopping malls are built. Maybe this is the Trump-SOTU jobs report release?
texasfiddler
(1,990 posts)Recursion
(56,582 posts)I mean, yes, there are probably some low-wage jobs in that 291,000, but much fewer than in years past
cstanleytech
(26,290 posts)we need is significant growth of the middle and upper middle class.
mahatmakanejeeves
(57,425 posts)Thursday, January 9, 2020: Links to earlier reports:
Updated from this post of Friday, December 6, 2019: Good morning. Links to earlier reports:
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[center]Past Performance is Not a Guarantee of Future Results.[/center]
Nonetheless, what is important is not this month's results, but the trend. Lets look at some earlier numbers:
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in December 2019:
Economy adds 145,000 jobs in December as unemployment rate remains at 3.5 percent
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in December 2019:
U.S. private sector adds the most jobs in eight months
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in November 2019:
Labor market remained strong in November as U.S. economy added 266,000 jobs
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in November 2019:
U.S. private sector job growth slows down sharply in November: ADP
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in October 2019:
U.S. economy added 128,000 jobs in October as GM strike displaced workers; jobless rate ticks up
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in September 2019:
U.S. economy added just 136,000 jobs in September, in fresh sign economy is cooling
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in September 2019:
ADP National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Increased by 135,000 Jobs in September
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in August 2019:
U.S. economy adds just 130,000 jobs in August amid worries
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in August 2019:
Survey: Businesses added a solid 195,000 jobs in August
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in July 2019:
U.S. Added 164,000 Jobs in July; Unemployment Rate at 3.7 Percent
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in July 2019:
ADP says 156,000 private-sector jobs added created in July
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in June 2019:
Hiring rebounds as U.S. economy adds 224,000 jobs in June;unemployment rate inched up to 3.7 percent
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in June 2019:
U.S. private sector hiring picks up less than expected in June: ADP
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in May 2019:
The U.S. economy added only 75,000 jobs in May amid bite from Trump's trade war
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in May 2019:
ADP private-sector job growth tumbles to a 9-year low in May
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in April 2019:
UPDATE: U.S. unemployment fell to 3.6 percent, lowest since 1969
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in April 2019:
ADP National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Increased by 275,000 Jobs in April
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in March 2019:
UPDATE: U.S. added 196,000 jobs in March as economy shows signs of spring bounce
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in March 2019:
Private sector hiring falls to 18-month low, and manufacturing sheds jobs, ADP says
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in February 2019:
U.S. adds meager 20,000 jobs in February to mark smallest increase in 17 months
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in February 2019:
ADP National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Increased by 183,000 Jobs in February
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in January 2019:
U.S. creates 304,000 jobs in January, unemployment rises to 4%
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in January 2019:
U.S. added 213,000 private-sector jobs in January, ADP says
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in December 2018:
Payroll employment increases by 312,000 in December; unemployment rate rises to 3.9%
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in December 2018:
U.S. adds most private-sector jobs in almost 2 years, says ADP
Bureau of Labor Statistics, for employment in November 2018:
Payroll employment increases by 155,000 in November; unemployment rate unchanged at 3.7%
ADP® (Automatic Data Processing), for employment in November 2018:
U.S. adds 179,000 private-sector jobs in November: ADP
Roland99
(53,342 posts)sandensea
(21,627 posts)Just like he always has, his whole life.
mahatmakanejeeves
(57,425 posts)And these things tend to have built-in error, fixing previous months and fixed in later months.
However, what'll be worth looking at are those unattached to the labor force next month--there's a measure of unemployment that includes those who haven't been looking for work and it might be that a chunk of those rejoined the labor force.
Roland99
(53,342 posts)And it would be quite the outlier for LFPR to jump that much
sandensea
(21,627 posts)yaesu
(8,020 posts)Wellstone ruled
(34,661 posts)Estimated to be 250k.
Roland99
(53,342 posts)onenote
(42,700 posts)gldstwmn
(4,575 posts)jobs pay.
jcmaine72
(1,773 posts)My local car wash just hired two new cleaners. Dotard's economic genius has really elevated our nation to heights never before seen.
Traildogbob
(8,731 posts)Doctored numbers. Book keeping fraud. Just like the Black Guy did. Real unemployment is 50, 60, maybe 70 percent. The greatest unemployment in the history of the world. MAGA.
Roland99
(53,342 posts)the bulk of it.
https://www.adpemploymentreport.com/2020/January/NER/docs/NERinfographic-January2020.pdf
Healthcare was 47,000 of that 70,000
Midnight Writer
(21,753 posts)Folks are scrambling, this will kill the economy here.
groundloop
(11,518 posts)Why isn't the Great tRump putting a stop to that?
Furthermore, I have to wonder if a lot of the 'created' jobs were people taking on a second job to make ends meet because their primary job pays so poorly.
heckles65
(549 posts)"Sequester." Remember "sequester"? How about the term "fiscal cliff," which the U.S. was going to dive over? How about comparisons to Greece?
Don't hear these any more, do you?
What's my point? The point is we now have the economy we could have had eight years ago - if the Tea Party had let us.
It's 2020. No more pinchpenny state governments. No more "California is collapsing" news articles. The Republicans are in power and deficits don't matter anymore.