CNN Poll: Support for impeaching Trump rises among independents and Republicans

[whopis01]

Source: CNN

Americans are about evenly split over impeaching President Donald Trump and removing him from office, as support for that move has risen among independents and Republicans, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS after the announcement of a formal impeachment inquiry by House Democrats last week.

About half, 47%, support impeaching the President and removing him from office, up from 41% who felt that way in a CNN poll in May. The current level matches the high point for impeaching Trump in previous CNN polling -- 47% said they felt that way in September 2018.

The share who favor impeachment and removal from office now narrowly outpaces the share who say they don't feel that way -- a first in CNN polling -- although the two figures are within the poll's margin of sampling error. Opposition stands at 45% in the new poll, down from 54% who said so in May and the lowest point in CNN polling on this topic.

The change since May has largely come among independents and Republicans. About three-quarters of Democrats favor impeaching Trump and removing him from office, roughly the same as in May, while among independents, support for impeachment and removal has risen 11 points to 46% among independents and 8 points to 14% among Republicans.

Read more: https://www.cnn.com/2019/09/30/politics/cnn-poll-impeachment-ukraine/index.html

[FightingIrish]

1. I think we need hourly updates to this poll.

Things are happening awfully fast.

[ritapria]

2. 14% of Republicans favor Impeachment and Removal

If that GOP number gets to 25% , GOP House members will begin to defect from Trump … Not a large number but 20 so GOP House members- particularly those not up for re-election …… Then Trump faces the real prospect of removal from office ...He will then try to plea bargain his office in exchange for immunity from Federal Prosecution …..

[whopis01]

3. The GOP House members that defect won't help removal

It is when GOP Senators start to defect that Trump will have to worry about removal.

[ritapria]

4. GOP House defections lead to the downfall of Nixon

[whopis01]

5. There was a Senate that was willing to remove Nixon once he was impeached.

If there is no threat from the Senate, Trump will neither resign nor will he be removed from office.

It is that simple.

[TwilightZone]

7. "20 GOP House members...particularly those not up for re-election "

All House members are up for re-election every cycle. It's a two-year term.

[llmart]

6. Who are those one-quarter of Dems who still don't favor impeaching this criminal?

I don't get that figure.

[marlakay]

9. One of my friends is against it

She is a moderate dem who thinks its going to keep us from winning next year.

[alfredo]

8. Caveat

https://www.lawfareblog.com/can-senate-decline-try-impeachment-case

“The Constitution does not by its express terms direct the Senate to try an impeachment. In fact, it confers on the Senate "the sole power to try,” which is a conferral of exclusive constitutional authority and not a procedural command. The Constitution couches the power to impeach in the same terms: it is the House’s “sole power.” The House may choose to impeach or not, and one can imagine an argument that the Senate is just as free, in the exercise of its own “sole power,” to decline to try any impeachment that the House elects to vote.”

[Judi Lynn]

10. Great news. Thank you. n/t