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ehrnst

(32,640 posts)
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 11:02 AM Jul 2016

Hill drops out of U.S. Senate race; Bayh likely to enter

Source: Evansville Courier and Press

In a twist that could influence control of the U.S. Senate, Baron Hill announced today he is dropping out of the race for U.S. Senate, presumably to make room for Evan Bayh, who served as both as a senator and governor of Indiana

Hill did not mention Bayh by name in his announcement, only saying that a nominee with better name recognition would help the Democratic Party take over the U.S. Senate.

"Democrats have a very real chance at winning this Senate seat, especially with a strong nominee who has the money, name identification and resources to win," Hill said. "I do not want to stand in the way of Democrats winning Indiana and the U.S. Senate."

An announcement from Bayh saying he will be asking to be placed on the ballot is expected later Monday. His return to politics will shake up the race for Indiana's open U.S. Senate seat, which is being vacated by Sen. Dan Coats at the end of the year. Coats' seat was originally Bayh's seat when Bayh announced he wouldn't be running for re-election in 2010.


Read more: http://www.courierpress.com/news/state/hill-drops-out-of-us-senate-race-bayh-likely-to-enter-375d5caf-1395-4457-e053-0100007f790c-386306571.html

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Hill drops out of U.S. Senate race; Bayh likely to enter (Original Post) ehrnst Jul 2016 OP
wow, that's interesting LittleGirl Jul 2016 #1
From what I've read bucolic_frolic Jul 2016 #2
He supported Clinton LittleGirl Jul 2016 #5
His father is still alive. n/t BlueStater Jul 2016 #10
oops. I thought he was gone. LittleGirl Jul 2016 #23
Birch is his dad. Alive and well at 88 sobenji Jul 2016 #28
oh, okay eom LittleGirl Jul 2016 #29
There is no "middle" in america politics Cosmocat Jul 2016 #7
Yeah, a far left democrat cannot get elected in Indiana. Adrahil Jul 2016 #18
I would not say that they cannot rather it would be extremely difficult as something would cstanleytech Jul 2016 #25
LOL ... In other words, "Cannot" ... 1StrongBlackMan Jul 2016 #30
Well you never know it "could" happen though I wouldnt be willing to wager any money cstanleytech Jul 2016 #35
Well, Obama won Indiana in 2008 caraher Jul 2016 #39
Wise decision ... 1StrongBlackMan Jul 2016 #43
Exactly radical noodle Jul 2016 #36
That is your opinion, and you are entitled to it... blue neen Jul 2016 #21
In Evan Bayh's case it does. He's quite conservative. Zen Democrat Jul 2016 #27
That may be true. blue neen Jul 2016 #34
DINO Bayh would be slightly better than an R n2doc Jul 2016 #3
Yep, see post #7 Cosmocat Jul 2016 #9
There's no slightly about it. Never is. whatthehey Jul 2016 #11
I know ... 1StrongBlackMan Jul 2016 #31
It could mean McConell out as Senate leader RandySF Jul 2016 #15
no question he is not progressive. It is not clear to me if a progressive could even win in still_one Jul 2016 #26
The state is full of Tea Baggers radical noodle Jul 2016 #37
That is sad still_one Jul 2016 #41
Obama carried Indiana in 2008. seabeckind Jul 2016 #38
Obama carried the state because of GW Bush radical noodle Jul 2016 #44
Not a fan of the man but at least we might pick up the seat. hrmjustin Jul 2016 #4
I think direction is important. seabeckind Jul 2016 #6
But no more Mitch running the Senate. RandySF Jul 2016 #16
exactly Randy still_one Jul 2016 #42
The revolving door is well greased, I see. n/t seabeckind Jul 2016 #8
Based upon some of the responses to this post, it appears some are willing to cede to the GOP tonyt53 Jul 2016 #12
Agreed. TwilightZone Jul 2016 #24
As a Hoosier sobenji Jul 2016 #13
How dare you iandhr Jul 2016 #17
My bad sobenji Jul 2016 #19
I'm not a fan of Evan Bayh but he likely has a better chance of winning then Baron. LiberalFighter Jul 2016 #14
Some are saying this puts Indiana in the toss up column now... plus OKNancy Jul 2016 #20
Always assumed he would be back someday... Moostache Jul 2016 #22
k and r riversedge Jul 2016 #32
Would Bayh be running as an Independent? FBaggins Jul 2016 #33
No, because Hill was the nominee but vacated the nomination caraher Jul 2016 #40
I've never liked Bayh. bigwillq Jul 2016 #45

LittleGirl

(8,292 posts)
1. wow, that's interesting
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 11:07 AM
Jul 2016

He screwed over Indiana when he dropped out of the race and gave Hoosiers Dan Coats because he waited too long to make a decision. I doubt I'd forgive Bayh for that considering he left the state to work as a lobbyist. Just the facts folks.

LittleGirl

(8,292 posts)
5. He supported Clinton
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 11:11 AM
Jul 2016

over Obama and I don't remember exactly what he said, can't quote but if he sees Clinton winning, I'm sure he's going to latch on to that in order to advance his position. His father, rest in peace, was a true liberal.

Cosmocat

(14,595 posts)
7. There is no "middle" in america politics
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 11:12 AM
Jul 2016

Just conservative democrats.

That is a simple reality of where we are today.

I know idealistically we would want to see fire breathing progressives like Sherrod Brown or Elizabeth Warren all over the place, like you see to the right for team R. They MOSTLY are flame throwing jackasses, but even the ones who aren't VOTE uniformly with the ones who do.

Just not the reality of where things are today.

The "middle" exists in the democratic party.

The Evan Bayhs of the world.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
18. Yeah, a far left democrat cannot get elected in Indiana.
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 11:54 AM
Jul 2016

Pretty Red State here. But we actually have a shot at TWO Democratic Senators. In this case, "perfect" is definitely the enemy of "good enough." Bayh is still very popular here and would make a hard pull for Indiana much easier.

cstanleytech

(26,364 posts)
25. I would not say that they cannot rather it would be extremely difficult as something would
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 12:33 PM
Jul 2016

have to change suddenly like a massive IQ boost for the population or something similar that would cause the majority of voters to think for themselves rather than being told what to think or believe in.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
30. LOL ... In other words, "Cannot" ...
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 01:20 PM
Jul 2016

as neither of those to change qualifiers is likely to occur anytime soon.

radical noodle

(8,020 posts)
36. Exactly
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 03:38 PM
Jul 2016

Being a Democrat, even a middle of the road one, is not easy. Bayh is about as good as it will get and he will support Dems in most things... but he would represent a very conservative state.

blue neen

(12,336 posts)
21. That is your opinion, and you are entitled to it...
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 12:03 PM
Jul 2016

but, there are people who live in the "middle".

Middle does not equal Conservative.

blue neen

(12,336 posts)
34. That may be true.
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 03:11 PM
Jul 2016

You probably know more about him than I do. It does seem, though, that in the state of Indiana it would be difficult to get someone who is considered far left elected to the Senate, so Bayh may be a good choice for Indiana.

It would be great if Democrats could pick up another seat.....

n2doc

(47,953 posts)
3. DINO Bayh would be slightly better than an R
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 11:09 AM
Jul 2016

But nothing other than a 'sensible woodchuck', so to speak.

whatthehey

(3,660 posts)
11. There's no slightly about it. Never is.
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 11:17 AM
Jul 2016

The very worst of both "--NO" suffix candidates vote with the opposing party about 20% of the time, almost never in leadership elections, and always count when assigning invaluable committee headcounts and chairs. So imagine the worst D you can running against the best R (and in IN it's not like you'll be running against anything even approaching the best R). You get 60% more D leaning votes on the roll call and another checkbox for getting Ds to set the agenda and pass bills out of committee purgatory. That's only "slight" to blind ideologues.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
31. I know ...
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 01:27 PM
Jul 2016

whereas, Democrats cannot count on conservative Democrats to write progressive legislation, they ARE a fairly reliable caucus consistent vote on the big legislation (somewhere around 80+%) and, regardless of their voting record, are on the roll that determines House/Senate majorities (i.e., committee leadership).

still_one

(92,535 posts)
26. no question he is not progressive. It is not clear to me if a progressive could even win in
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 12:55 PM
Jul 2016

Indiana today.

Bayh would be better than a republican, if for only the fact that it could help Democrats assume the majority in the Senate

No, I am not a fan of Bayh, but I sure would rather have a Democrat in that seat than a republican

radical noodle

(8,020 posts)
37. The state is full of Tea Baggers
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 03:43 PM
Jul 2016

at least in the area in which I lived most of my life. I don't think a true progressive has a chance in hell of winning Indiana unless running against a Communist or a Martian.

seabeckind

(1,957 posts)
38. Obama carried Indiana in 2008.
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 04:36 PM
Jul 2016

Whole bunch of disgruntled people in the cities and university cities.

They more than match the disgruntled teanuts in numbers.

Give them something to vote for and they'll come out.

radical noodle

(8,020 posts)
44. Obama carried the state because of GW Bush
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 05:31 PM
Jul 2016

They hadn't voted for a Dem for president since LBJ. Hillary beat Obama there in the primary. The 2008 vote was all about Dubya. Romney beat Obama by about 10 points in 2012. I lived in Indiana for 65 years. It's just super conservative.

seabeckind

(1,957 posts)
6. I think direction is important.
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 11:12 AM
Jul 2016

He's third way, neoliberal.

IOW, reagan economics wrapped in a liberal (to some extent) social leaning.

 

tonyt53

(5,737 posts)
12. Based upon some of the responses to this post, it appears some are willing to cede to the GOP
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 11:20 AM
Jul 2016

Bayh WILL vote with the majority of the Democratic Party Senators. This gives Dems one down, five more to go.

TwilightZone

(25,523 posts)
24. Agreed.
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 12:25 PM
Jul 2016

Numbers are numbers, with the possible exception of Ben Nelson, and even his ~50% was better than 0%.

And, Bayh isn't Nelson.

sobenji

(316 posts)
13. As a Hoosier
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 11:21 AM
Jul 2016

I'm doing backflips (not really...too old, too fat).

Sure he's not as progressive as I'd like, but Baron Hill (who's also isn't very progressive) was never going to beat Todd Young.

Bayh voted for the ACA, and voted along party lines 95% of the time. His name is like royalty here.
He will confirm HRC's judicial appointments, and more importantly, may help her win Indiana.

Great day for Hoosiers.

iandhr

(6,852 posts)
17. How dare you
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 11:53 AM
Jul 2016

This form is the place to bash Democrats not to pointing out that a moderate Democrat would still invite with the party on the overwhelming majority of issues and would be 1 million times better than a Republican.



LiberalFighter

(51,393 posts)
14. I'm not a fan of Evan Bayh but he likely has a better chance of winning then Baron.
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 11:23 AM
Jul 2016

Checking govtrack and it appears ideology they are nearly the same. But, I think Baron Hill though was becoming more liberal. The problem likely is name recognition.

OKNancy

(41,832 posts)
20. Some are saying this puts Indiana in the toss up column now... plus
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 12:00 PM
Jul 2016

better a Democrat votes with our side 75% of the time than a Republican who votes 0%.

Those who don't understand that reality... well, they don't understand at all.

Moostache

(9,897 posts)
22. Always assumed he would be back someday...
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 12:06 PM
Jul 2016

I was surprised Bayh left in the first place, but in the back of my mind I assumed he would resurface again.

He is probably the only kind of Democrat that can win in Indiana these days. Maybe not perfect, but I can see him counting as head count for the chamber and also a semi-reliable Democratic vote on issues.

FBaggins

(26,797 posts)
33. Would Bayh be running as an Independent?
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 01:36 PM
Jul 2016

I thought that the filing deadline was long since past for all but "I"s?

caraher

(6,279 posts)
40. No, because Hill was the nominee but vacated the nomination
Mon Jul 11, 2016, 04:54 PM
Jul 2016

According to the link in the OP, there is a committee of 33 state Democratic leaders who will select a nominee. It may not be Bayh... in theory.

It will be up to the State Democrat committee, comprised of 33 voting members, to officially name Hill's replacement. In accordance with state law, a 10-day notice of the meeting was sent out Monday morning, after Hill's resignation paperwork was received. The meeting is expected to take place on July 22. Interested candidates have until 72 hours before the meeting to submit the necessary paperwork to the state party and Indiana's Election Commission.


But it will be Bayh.
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