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tabasco

(22,974 posts)
Wed Jun 1, 2016, 07:41 AM Jun 2016

CNN Poll of Polls: Two points separate Clinton and Trump

Source: CNN

Washington (CNN)With the final primaries of the 2016 nomination season approaching, a new CNN Poll of Polls finds the candidates most likely to lead their parties into the general election are locked in a tight contest. Hillary Clinton holds an average of 45% support while 43% back Donald Trump across five recent nationwide polls of registered voters.

The Poll of Polls suggests a vastly different race than many anticipated.

Throughout March and April, public polling on the presidential race found Clinton well ahead of Trump, with the former secretary of state holding double-digit leads over the businessman in 10 out of the 14 polls that met CNN's standards for reporting in those months.

A string of polls released in the last two weeks, however, suggest a much tighter contest. For the most part, those tightened margins come from a more unified Republican Party. Across the five polls included in the Poll of Polls, Clinton averaged 6% support among self-identified Republicans. Polls from the same organizations in late-March and April found Clinton averaging 12% support among Republicans.

Read more: http://www.cnn.com/2016/06/01/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-poll-2016/

14 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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CNN Poll of Polls: Two points separate Clinton and Trump (Original Post) tabasco Jun 2016 OP
Nationwide Polls don't account for the Electoral College. Yonnie3 Jun 2016 #1
You are correct hollowdweller Jun 2016 #5
second poll to show this. the super delegates will leave her if this continues and it roguevalley Jun 2016 #12
Oh is that rich or what? Darb Jun 2016 #14
Why do lazy news agencies and OPs skepticscott Jun 2016 #2
LOL! tabasco Jun 2016 #3
It's your OP skepticscott Jun 2016 #10
I don't think it is laziness ... Yonnie3 Jun 2016 #6
What you describe fits the definition of laziness skepticscott Jun 2016 #9
It's their business plan to ... Yonnie3 Jun 2016 #11
Stringing polls together rock Jun 2016 #4
Trump is fighting Clinton, Clinton is fighting Sanders Democat Jun 2016 #7
I posted this sentiment before... mark67 Jun 2016 #8
reminds me of the UK election Angel Martin Jun 2016 #13

Yonnie3

(17,516 posts)
1. Nationwide Polls don't account for the Electoral College.
Wed Jun 1, 2016, 08:07 AM
Jun 2016

Where each candidate's support is located is very important. Swing states anyone?

 

hollowdweller

(4,229 posts)
5. You are correct
Wed Jun 1, 2016, 09:36 AM
Jun 2016

However I would still feel better if she had more of a lead.

Clinton's history is to have a big lead and then lose it.

So I'd rather have her start out much higher at the beginning of the general, before the real attacks have even happened.

roguevalley

(40,656 posts)
12. second poll to show this. the super delegates will leave her if this continues and it
Wed Jun 1, 2016, 02:55 PM
Jun 2016

will because historically, Clinton never rises in the polls. This will be her death knell.

 

skepticscott

(13,029 posts)
2. Why do lazy news agencies and OPs
Wed Jun 1, 2016, 08:22 AM
Jun 2016

keep touting popular vote polls for president? The president is not elected by popular vote. The only thing that matters is who is likely to win which individual states. If you're not going to lay that out, stop wasting bandwidth.

 

skepticscott

(13,029 posts)
10. It's your OP
Wed Jun 1, 2016, 01:42 PM
Jun 2016

When you post someone else's bullshit, it becomes your bullshit, too.

And apparently you cared enough to respond, even though it was a lame, useless response.

Try again.

Yonnie3

(17,516 posts)
6. I don't think it is laziness ...
Wed Jun 1, 2016, 09:40 AM
Jun 2016

by the news agencies; It is their desire to generate clicks (and revenue) by making anything they can sound important.

I can not and would not characterize the OP as lazy as I don't have a clue in that matter.

Yonnie3

(17,516 posts)
11. It's their business plan to ...
Wed Jun 1, 2016, 02:12 PM
Jun 2016

expend minimum (intellect,time, money etc.) to get the most viewership. This looks lazy, but it is truly a management decision.

rock

(13,218 posts)
4. Stringing polls together
Wed Jun 1, 2016, 09:25 AM
Jun 2016

Is not scientifically valid. Of course, these polls are not very good to begin with. We're still in the Primary season.

Democat

(11,617 posts)
7. Trump is fighting Clinton, Clinton is fighting Sanders
Wed Jun 1, 2016, 10:00 AM
Jun 2016

Right now everyone is attacking Clinton.

Wait until Clinton or Sanders can focus on Trump.

mark67

(196 posts)
8. I posted this sentiment before...
Wed Jun 1, 2016, 11:49 AM
Jun 2016

..media will run this like a horse race until election night. Generates clicks, and viewership, and revenue.

If you went back I'm sure you would find polls and reporting that predicted a similar close race between Obama-McCain, Obama-Romney, etc...

Both Hillary and Sanders would crush Trump. Doesn't mean we get lazy or stay home on election night, but that's the way I see it.

Seems like person I've talked to who supports Trump is a closet supporter...they'll deny they support him, or will only admit it away from the light of day. My experience is probably unique though.

Angel Martin

(942 posts)
13. reminds me of the UK election
Wed Jun 1, 2016, 03:34 PM
Jun 2016

"Seems like person I've talked to who supports Trump is a closet supporter...they'll deny they support him, or will only admit it away from the light of day. My experience is probably unique though."

was supposed to be close, but a substantial hidden vote for the Tories.

I'd say Trump has even more potential for a hidden vote.

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