Trump Still Leads National GOP Field, But Disaster in General
Source: Public Policy Polling
PPP's newest national poll finds that Donald Trump is likely facing at least some fallout from his comments about John McCain over the weekend. Nevertheless we do find him narrowly leading the national field in our survey, which went into the field on Monday. Trump gets 19% to 17% for Scott Walker, 12% for Jeb Bush, 10% for Ben Carson and Marco Rubio, 8% for Mike Huckabee, 4% each for Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, and Rand Paul, 3% each for Chris Christie and John Kasich, 1% for Bobby Jindal, Rick Perry, and Rick Santorum, and less than 1% each for Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, and George Pataki.
Trump's lead comes despite the fact that only 22% of Republicans agree with the comments he made about John McCain over the weekend compared to 50% who disagree. Despite his overall lead there are some signs that Trump's comments may have hurt him. For one thing his favorability rating is back down in the 40s, at 48/39. Although it's not a perfect comparison, our state polls in Virginia (58/32) and North Carolina (55/32) over the previous two weeks had found him with numbers in the mid to upper 50's. And although it's an even more imperfect comparison to compare numbers with other polling organizations, Trump's 2 point advantage is a lot less than the 11 point one had in an ABC/Washington Post poll conducted largely before Trump's comments about McCain.
Nevertheless Trump is doing well across the GOP electorate. He leads among voters who describe themselves as 'very conservative' with 20% to 17% for Walker and 16% for Carson. But he also has the advantage with moderates, getting 22% to 19% for Bush and 13% for Rubio. Additionally Trump has the lead both among primary voters who say their biggest concern is having the candidate who's the most conservative on the issues (he gets 20% to 16% for Walker, 12% for Huckabee, and 11% for Carson) and with primary voters who say their biggest concern is winning in the general election (19% to 16% for Walker, 14% for Bush, 13% for Rubio, and 10% for Carson.)
Donald Trump continues to lead the Republican primary field, said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. But there are signs his decline may be starting with GOP voters- and when it comes to the general election his numbers are an unmitigated disaster. Meanwhile Hillary Clinton continues to look like the clear favorite over the GOP contenders for the general election, even if some of the match ups are close.
Read more: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_National_72215.pdf
PatrickforO
(14,602 posts)open his big mouth and poof! there goes another constituency.
byronius
(7,407 posts)And it's so intellectually and morally bankrupt, he might pull it off.
Ten bucks says he apologizes in some fashion or makes peace -- having won over and locked in the True Monsters, he can play the Peacemaker and get his 24% and more back.
I would laugh, but I laughed at GW and look at what the fuck happened to this poor fucking world.
I will never laugh about any Republican again. Ever.
harun
(11,348 posts)At best they say they are sorry someone got angry.
byronius
(7,407 posts)Like 'the evil in their hearts is festering and will boil over soon'.
They all love that kind of sentiment.
Manly manliness.
aint_no_life_nowhere
(21,925 posts)insult another minority and the Tea Party will drool and applaud.
greiner3
(5,214 posts)The first to get thrown off of the clown bus.
Arugula Latte
(50,566 posts)big_dog
(4,144 posts)he was getting 28% before Monday...so go Donald!
GOLGO 13
(1,681 posts)I constantly "talk" him up to the Cons at my job. I pepper the conversation with he "frightens" the Dems. They absolutely love TRUMP and now that I think about it, so do I.
There is no decline with TRUMP. Only glorious victory.