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brooklynite

(94,852 posts)
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:05 PM Jul 2015

Poll: Trump surges to big lead in GOP presidential race

Source: Washington Post

Businessman Donald Trump surged into the lead for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination, with almost twice the support of his closest rival, just as he ignited a new controversy after making disparaging remarks about Sen. John McCain’s Vietnam War service, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.

Support for Trump fell sharply on the one night that voters were surveyed following those comments. Telephone interviewing for the poll began Thursday, and most calls were completed before the news about the remarks was widely reported.

Although the sample size for the final day was small, the decline was statistically significant. Still, it is difficult to predict what could happen to Trump’s support in the coming days and weeks as the controversy plays out.

Even with the drop in support on the final night of the survey, Trump was the favorite of 24 percent of registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. That is the highest percentage and biggest lead recorded by any GOP candidate this year in Post-ABC News polls and marks a sixfold increase in his support since late May, shortly before he formally joined the race.

Read more: http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/poll-trump-surges-to-big-lead-in-gop-presidential-race/2015/07/20/efd2e0d0-2ef8-11e5-8f36-18d1d501920d_story.html



So much for the "crash and burn" theory...
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pampango

(24,692 posts)
2. 62% will never vote for him. The highest % of any candidate polled.
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 06:41 PM
Jul 2015

Q: If Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination for president would you definitely vote for him in the general election for president in 2016, would you consider voting for him or would you definitely not vote for him?

All adults

Definitely would vote for .............14%
Would consider voting for ...........20%
Definitely would NOT vote for ......62%
No opinion...................................4%

pampango

(24,692 posts)
6. The 62% was for all voters. Only 31% of republicans would never vote for him.
Mon Jul 20, 2015, 08:45 PM
Jul 2015

Results by Republican

Definitely would vote for....31%
Would consider voting for...31%
Definitely would NOT vote for....31%
No opinion...7%

http://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2015/07/20/National-Politics/Polling/question_15779.xml?uuid=gA3a1i8jEeWBj6JC8o5wIg

The 31% "I'll never vote for him" among republican voters was the highest for any republican candidate (Jeb was at 14%), but he still could certainly win the nomination with those numbers.

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