7 Rules For Reading Approval Rating

[struggle4progress]

By Nate Silver

... If Trump does have a floor, it’s probably in the 20s and not in the 30s ...

The lowest approval ratings achieved by past presidents are in the low-to-mid-20s. Richard Nixon was at 25 percent at the time of his resignation, for instance, while George W. Bush and Harry Truman bottomed out at 24 percent and 22 percent, respectively, late in their second terms.

Trump won 23 percent of everyone, regardless of party, who cast a vote in the Democratic or Republican primaries last year. Those are the people who were truly with him from the start ...

A recent Monmouth University poll found that 61 percent of Trump supporters said they’d never change their minds about him. That works out to about 23 percent of the country overall ...

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/7-rules-for-reading-trumps-approval-rating/

[BigmanPigman]

1. My estimate earlier today was 25-30% which seems realistic.

I think his base will stick with him more that Bush or Truman since they didn't have the same psychological make up going between their presidents' bases and their presidents. The fake prez and his base have a different relationship. It is more about personality and character (or lack of).