General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums2018 US Senate Election Rating-Least to Most Vulnerable Democratic and Republican held seats.
2018
Democratic Held Seats.
Solid Democratic
HI-Hirono-D 24
NY-Gillibrand-D 25
VT-Sanders-I/D 26
DE-Carper-D 27
MN-Klobuchar-D 28
RI-Whitehouse-D 29
CA-Feinstein-D 30
WA-Cantwell-D 31
MD-Cardin-D 32
CT-Murphy-D 33
MA-Warren-D 34
NM-Heinrich-D 35
Likely Democratic
NJ-Whoever Governor Elect Murphy-D appoints to replace Menendez-D 36
MI-Stabenow-D 37
ME-King-I/D 38
VA-Kaine-D 39
PA-Casey-D 40
Lean Democratic
WI-Baldwin-D 41
OH-Brown-D 42
MT-Tester-D 43
FL-Nelson-D 44
ND-Heitkamp-D 45
Tossup Democratc
WV-Manchin-D 46
Tossup Republican
MO-McCaskill-D/Hawley-R 45
IN-Donnelly-D/Messer-R or Rokita-R 46
Republican Held Seats
Solid Republican
WY-Barrasso-R 47
UT-Hatch-R 48
TN-Corker-R 49
MS-Wicker-R 50
NE-Fischer-R 51
Likely Republican
TX-Cruz-R 52
Tossup Democratic
AZ-Flake-R/Sinema-D 47
NV-Heller-R/Rosen-D 48
2020-Democrats guide to a majority
Scenario 1-Democrats win the 2020 US Presidential Election.
Democrats pick up CO,NC,and win the 2020 US Presidential Election
Democrats pick up CO,AZ Special, and win the 2020 US Presidential Election
Democrats pick up CO,ME-if Collins-R is not the Republican nominee, and win the 2020 US Presidential Election.
Democrats pick up CO,MT-if Bullock-D is the Democratic nominee, and win the 2020 US Presidential Election.
Democrats pick up CO,AK-if Berkowitz-D or Begich-D are the Democratic nominee, and win the 2020 US Presidential Election.
Scenario 2-Democrats lose the 2020 US Presidential Election.
Democrats pick up CO,NC,and AZ-Special.
Democrats pick up CO,NC,and ME-if Collins-R is not the Republican nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,NC, and MT-if Bullock-D is the Democratic nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,NC, and AK-if Berkowitz-D or Begich-D is the Democratic nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,AZ Special,and ME-if Collins-R is not the Republican nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,AZ Special, and MT-if Bullock-D is the Democratic nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,AZ Special and AK-if Berkowitz-D or Begich-D is the Democratic nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,ME-if Collins-R is not the Republican nominee,and MT-if Bullock-D is the Democratic nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,ME-if Collins-R is not the Republican nominee, and AK-if Berkowitz-D or Begich-D is the Democratic nominee.
Democrats pick up CO,MT-if Bullock-D is the Democratic nominee,and AK-if Berkowitz-D or Begich-D is the Democratic nominee.
BigmanPigman
(51,650 posts)brooklynite
(94,942 posts)I maintain a 6-page spreadsheet to evaluate competitive races.