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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php
Clearly all will not develop but 91L is now at 60%
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Gert, located a few hundred miles south of Halifax, Nova Scotia.
1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system
located about 650 miles east of the Lesser Antilles have become
a little more concentrated this afternoon. Upper-level winds are
forecast to become more conducive for development during the next
day or so while the low moves westward at 15 to 20 mph across the
tropical Atlantic Ocean, crossing into the Caribbean Sea on Friday.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds
are expected to spread across portions of the Lesser Antilles on
Thursday night and Friday, and interests there and elsewhere in
the eastern Caribbean should monitor the progress of this
disturbance. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate this system on Thursday, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
2. A second area of low pressure is located about 950 miles west
of the Cabo Verde Islands, and its associated shower and
thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. Gradual development
of this system is possible during the next few days while it
moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, but upper-level winds
are expected to become less conducive for tropical cyclone formation
when the disturbance moves north of the Leeward Islands this
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
3. A tropical wave located southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development
over the weekend while the system moves westward to west-
northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Forecaster Brown
Achilleaze
(15,543 posts)* aka the taxpayer-supported golden gourmet deluxe Bedminister Sandbox for FatCat republican Draft-Dodging Billionaires and their colluding russian and republican cronies as they continue PISS all over American democracy and basic human decency.
malaise
(269,254 posts)Which one is headed for the goat farm?
Achilleaze
(15,543 posts)gonna also flush out on Camp David - a twofer, according to my well-lubricated cousin Ferd Berffle.
malaise
(269,254 posts)We may not get a hurricane but I suspect Monday will be overcast.
dixiegrrrrl
(60,010 posts)I am stealing that.
dunno who or what the lucky recipient may be, but I love the name!
annabanana
(52,791 posts)panader0
(25,816 posts)Be careful.
malaise
(269,254 posts)checked out the battery stuff, car charger and most importantly coffee maker for the car
We bought lots of water in June. The rest is routine.
Could fizzle out but better to be prepared. Lots of islands before ours.
heather blossom
(174 posts)That's cool. I need one. Can't live with out my coffee. Stay safe.
malaise
(269,254 posts)Not expensive either.
Stay safe neighbor
heather blossom
(174 posts)Occasionally I take long car trips, would come in handy. Thanks.
dixiegrrrrl
(60,010 posts)You are my favorite weather watcher!
malaise
(269,254 posts)1. Morning satellite imagery shows that shower activity associated
with a low pressure system centered about 550 miles east of the
Lesser Antilles has become better organized overnight, and buoy
data indicates that the circulation is becoming better defined.
Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for development,
and a tropical depression could form later today or tonight as the
system moves westward at about 15 mph. Regardless of development,
locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected to spread across
portions of the Lesser Antilles and the eastern Caribbean Sea
tonight and Friday, and interests in these areas should monitor the
progress of this system. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
---------------
Likely to be a TD later today
dixiegrrrrl
(60,010 posts)( Just this minute woke up, actually)
and it had a video of some guy giving the storm report
but he was SO dramatic, and actually shouting, waving his arms, behavior you normally associate with a meteor hitting the planet..
had to turn him off.
In any event, hoping your and yours will be fine.
malaise
(269,254 posts)Last edited Thu Aug 17, 2017, 03:22 PM - Edit history (1)
Theoretically Florida could have a hurricane on the 25th anniversary of Andrew