Nate Silver suggests the GOP strategy on the health care vote

[jg10003]

If the bill quietly dies in the Senate this summer, for instance, it’s not clear that a vote taken in May 2017 will be at the top of voters’ minds in November 2018.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-health-care-bill-could-be-a-job-killer-for-gop-incumbents/

I suspect this is exactly what the GOP is planning. Give the far right a meaningless victory today, let the senate kill Trumpcare in the middle of summer when no one is paying attention, and hope that by election day 2018 everyone has forgotten about today's vote

[lapfog_1]

1. Nope.

They plan to tinker with it... just enough to "fix" it and then pass it.

They can't pass tax reform unless they pass this huge tax cut first.

[kentuck]

11. Correct.

Taxcut is their number one priority.

[workinclasszero]

15. Republican tax reform being a massive theft of money by the 1% from the 99%

[Historic NY]

2. There is more than enough footage to play over and over

on the TV and the air waves. One thing Republicans do is purchase cheap air time on the radio and play ads until your want to throw the radio....Democrats need to follow suit. Every congressional race should be hit with a deluge.

[BannonsLiver]

5. They also need to invest in online advertising.

And if some left leaning organization or wealthy benefactor wants to start an operation that spreads fake news on Facebook targeting the GOP I'll be the first to look the other way. We've entered win at all costs territory. Within the law, of course.

[okieinpain]

18. thank you, thank you, thank you. n/t.

[Bettie]

13. And hammer the point at every turn

we need every one of our talking heads to hammer this point, to mention it every time they get in front of a camera from now until the end of fucking time.

Yeah, there will be more horrors, but we need to use the talking points all day every day, until it becomes set in the minds of even the dumbest right winger that Republicans want them DEAD.

[MFM008]

3. its always been meaningless

one day their smugness will reep its reward.

[Grammy23]

4. Oh, but THIS day will not fade into the blackhole of amnesia they hope we have.

They left too much evidence around with their congratulatory selfies posted here, there and yonder. The press did its job by kindly recording every moment so there is a record complete with sound of who said and did what today. They will get to re-live May 4, 2017 over and over like Ground Hog Day. I hope they enjoyed it because it is not going away.

[Mme. Defarge]

6. This vote will go down in infamy.

It could be one of those moments when people will remember exactly where they were and what they were doing the moment they heard the news.

[world wide wally]

7. Ugly things seem to happen in May which is such a beautiful month.

But, I guess with the GOP in total power, ugly things will be happening for months on end.

[Trust Buster]

8. Yeah, they don't really want to get rid of the taxes in the ACA to benefit the wealthy at all.

They care about us.

[Cha]

9. Whatever.. their willingness to kill their voters and

celebrate with beer needs to be hung around their necks.

[Azathoth]

10. I'm smelling the same kind of complacent confidence that predicted Trump didn't have a chance

The same "very serious people" on both sides of the aisle -- Dem and GOP -- are treating this as if it's already dead. It isn't. And any Republican who thinks this will all blow over by 2018 because three or four GOP "moderates" in the Senate are going to stand on principle is deluding himself. The Senate will pass a bill, one that will be much closer to the House bill than any "serious observer" realizes. The GOP has made spitting on Obama's achievements, especially the ACA, the cornerstone of their party platform. They've committed themselves to this the same way Hitler committed Germany to the war. The ships have been burned and there's no turning back.

[titaniumsalute]

12. There is one MASSIVE flaw with this strategy by Nate Silver...

It is called Trump.

Trump won't let it die. Period. He is a fighter and a winner. That is his only game due to his ego. If it is dying in the Senate Trump will be tweeting his orange turd fingers off every day about it keeping it top of mind.

[tblue37]

14. I posted this reply on another thread a few days ago:

It won't make it through the Senate. The House Republicans are counting on the
Senate to save them from their own self-inflicted damage. They want to pass some legislation--ANY legislation--so they can claim to have kept their promise on Obamacare. And Cheato is seriously badgering them to get something passed so he can add it to his list of "accomplishments."

But most House members absolutely do NOT want that bill to land on Cheato's desk to be signed, so they are counting on its being killed in the Senate.

If it does end up getting to Trump to be signed, they will be as freaked out as Trump was when he actually got stuck with being president.

[dalton99a]

16. Senate Republicans don't work for the American people

No Republican does

[Historic NY]

17. Exactly this

reason they can't govern, if there is no money to be made.