North Korea (DPRK): "They therefore plan to win by striking quickly, by surprise, while South

[Nevermypresident]

Korea (ROK) are still mobilizing, US reinforcements are not yet in theatre,..."

Snipped:

"DPRK planners recognize their inferiority in technology and, after ROK mobilization, even in numbers. They understand that ROK/US forces will have air superiority initially, and (unless China intervenes) air supremacy within days. They therefore plan to win by striking quickly, by surprise, while ROK forces are still mobilizing, US reinforcements are not yet in theatre, and while our airpower is largely committed to overcoming the DPRK integrated air defense system and targeting WMD storage sites, launchers, and command, control, and communications (C3) networks."

http://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2017/04/25/thunder_run_to_seoul_assessing_north_koreas_war_plan_111241.html

This article is comprehensive and informative, IMO.


In my research on North Korea, I am learning just how little we know about North Korea. It is, after all, the Hermit country.


Another interesting viewpoint:

"Why North Korea Is a Black Hole for U.S. Intelligence"

http://observer.com/2017/04/north-korea-missile-test-cia/

[A HERETIC I AM]

1. They're not planning for a win, they are planning for their own annihilation

There is too much money involved between S. Korea and China for China to allow the DPRK to do anything so stupid as to start a war. The Chinese must know they can't overtly influence Trump and they sure as hell don't want a nuclear exchange in their front yard.

The North has done this sort of thing over and over in the last decades. They rattle a saber until they get money and food.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China%E2%80%93South_Korea_relations#Present

[Nevermypresident]

4. "Starting a war" implies that N. Korea doesn't consider it self defense.

"The North has done this sort of thing over and over in the last decades. They rattle a saber until they get money and food."

What's different from the past is DJT.

[A HERETIC I AM]

8. Cooler heads will prevail.

They always seem to, anyway.

[GP6971]

2. Under a normal president and Congress I would watch

for the evacuation order of non-essential personnel and DoD dependents. That's when we worry.

But nothing is normal with this faux and illegitimate president and congress.

[stevenleser]

3. When I was on active duty, most S. Korea assignments were unaccompanied.

You couldn't take dependents, etc. There were exceptions but I don't think there would need to be a big evac.

[GP6971]

6. I spent a lot of time in Korea

with the military and now as a DoD contractor...all TDY. My son was stationed with the 7th Cav at Camp Hovie up close to the DMZ. Area 1, north of Seoul, really discouraged command sponsored tours. Recently (last 10 years or so) they have approved more requests which really surprised me. The kicker is that you have to agree to a 2 year tour.

[stevenleser]

7. Interesting, thanks for the info, and that is crazy as we are now seeing.

I would hate to be on active duty in S. Korea right now with accompanied dependents. I would really be worried about them.

[blue sky at night]

5. I hate acronyms...

END OF MESSAGE....

[A HERETIC I AM]

9. 3 things I hate;