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Moody's say 332 (Original Post) malaise Nov 2016 OP
Yet everyone continues to hang Charles Bukowski Nov 2016 #1
I'm a Nate Silver fan malaise Nov 2016 #2
He knows his stuff, no question Charles Bukowski Nov 2016 #7
I'm so glad I don't live on his every word. I rarely go to his site. writes3000 Nov 2016 #4
I'd rather see the system shocked down to its loafers Warpy Nov 2016 #3
Looking at you, Texas mahina Nov 2016 #5
Was telling a friend that earlier malaise Nov 2016 #6
While I follow Nate and BlueMTexpat Nov 2016 #8
^^^This!!! DemonGoddess Nov 2016 #9
Well said malaise Nov 2016 #10
 

Charles Bukowski

(1,132 posts)
7. He knows his stuff, no question
Wed Nov 2, 2016, 01:58 AM
Nov 2016

But his prediction models have been way too noisy this election cycle.

writes3000

(4,734 posts)
4. I'm so glad I don't live on his every word. I rarely go to his site.
Wed Nov 2, 2016, 01:44 AM
Nov 2016

I've grown tired and cynical of his running commentary.

BlueMTexpat

(15,366 posts)
8. While I follow Nate and
Wed Nov 2, 2016, 04:27 AM
Nov 2016

mostly like what he has to say, I have more confidence in Sam Wang's models at the PEC. http://election.princeton.edu/

Both sites have consistently been predicting a solid win probability for Hillary. I honestly believe, however, that both are actually lowballing the electoral vote totals that Hillary will win, likely because they have not factored in Hillary's outstanding ground game networks enough. After all, Trump has basically alienated GOP networks that would traditionally be canvassing for him. Yes, he's given a free pass and free press by the broadcast media, which drives us all crazy, but when it comes to actual voting, I believe that the tables will be turned.

GOTV and show me that my opinion is correct! Please!!!!!

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