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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsCharles Bukowski
(1,132 posts)on Nate Silver's every word.
malaise
(268,885 posts)Charles Bukowski
(1,132 posts)But his prediction models have been way too noisy this election cycle.
writes3000
(4,734 posts)I've grown tired and cynical of his running commentary.
Warpy
(111,237 posts)and see her break 400.
mahina
(17,640 posts)malaise
(268,885 posts)She's in full panic mode
BlueMTexpat
(15,366 posts)mostly like what he has to say, I have more confidence in Sam Wang's models at the PEC. http://election.princeton.edu/
Both sites have consistently been predicting a solid win probability for Hillary. I honestly believe, however, that both are actually lowballing the electoral vote totals that Hillary will win, likely because they have not factored in Hillary's outstanding ground game networks enough. After all, Trump has basically alienated GOP networks that would traditionally be canvassing for him. Yes, he's given a free pass and free press by the broadcast media, which drives us all crazy, but when it comes to actual voting, I believe that the tables will be turned.
GOTV and show me that my opinion is correct! Please!!!!!
DemonGoddess
(4,640 posts)PEC has become my goto first thing to check on the state of things.