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Wed Aug 31, 2016, 03:19 PM

Hurricane Hermine - update



1:55 PM CDT Thu Sep 1
Location: 28.1N 85.4W
Moving: NNE at 14 mph
Min pressure: 988 mb
Max sustained: 75 mph

Just imagine what could have happened if this had time to strengthen
This will be a water mess for Florida and problems up the east coast

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT09/refresh/AL0916W5_NL+gif/152604W5_NL_sm.gif

From NHC
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.7N 88.0W
ABOUT 395 MI...640 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
ABOUT 415 MI...665 KM WSW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Anclote River to Indian Pass

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anclote River to the Walton/Bay County line

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Marineland Florida to Altamaha Sound Georgia

51 replies, 3452 views

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Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 51 replies Author Time Post
Reply Hurricane Hermine - update (Original post)
malaise Aug 2016 OP
JustAnotherGen Aug 2016 #1
FLPanhandle Aug 2016 #2
dixiegrrrrl Sep 2016 #42
malaise Sep 2016 #45
dixiegrrrrl Sep 2016 #49
malaise Sep 2016 #50
tosh Sep 2016 #47
Kingofalldems Aug 2016 #3
malaise Sep 2016 #48
monmouth4 Aug 2016 #4
Freddie Aug 2016 #6
monmouth4 Aug 2016 #24
Warpy Aug 2016 #5
csziggy Aug 2016 #7
malaise Aug 2016 #8
csziggy Aug 2016 #9
malaise Aug 2016 #10
csziggy Aug 2016 #11
malaise Aug 2016 #13
dixiegrrrrl Sep 2016 #43
csziggy Sep 2016 #44
NightWatcher Aug 2016 #12
malaise Aug 2016 #14
NightWatcher Aug 2016 #15
malaise Aug 2016 #16
Brother Buzz Aug 2016 #17
malaise Aug 2016 #19
Warpy Aug 2016 #26
malaise Aug 2016 #28
Hortensis Sep 2016 #41
yallerdawg Aug 2016 #18
malaise Aug 2016 #20
yallerdawg Aug 2016 #21
malaise Aug 2016 #25
FLPanhandle Aug 2016 #23
malaise Aug 2016 #27
Are_grits_groceries Sep 2016 #31
malaise Sep 2016 #32
csziggy Sep 2016 #46
Kingofalldems Aug 2016 #22
suffragette Aug 2016 #29
malaise Sep 2016 #34
Are_grits_groceries Sep 2016 #30
malaise Sep 2016 #33
malaise Sep 2016 #35
malaise Sep 2016 #36
FLPanhandle Sep 2016 #37
malaise Sep 2016 #39
Blue_Tires Sep 2016 #38
malaise Sep 2016 #40
Laffy Kat Sep 2016 #51

Response to malaise (Original post)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 03:21 PM

1. Yep

I'm hoping we don't see anything other than turbulent water rip tide off the Jersey shore this weekend. njweather guy on FB still isn't letting up on some rain for the second half of labor day weeken.

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Response to malaise (Original post)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 03:22 PM

2. Wind is picking up here in the panhandle.

Sort of was hoping we'd get hit with it, but it's going to the west of me.

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Response to FLPanhandle (Reply #2)

Thu Sep 1, 2016, 05:22 PM

42. they just changed the forecast here

from sunny and dry to "heavy afternoon rain"

I am 90 miles due north of Pensacola.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Reply #42)

Thu Sep 1, 2016, 05:35 PM

45. The worst part of this is the night landing

and now the tornado warnings.

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Response to malaise (Reply #45)

Thu Sep 1, 2016, 08:05 PM

49. and it leaves land, a zillion skeeters will have more than enough water to lay eggs

that was the surprise to me a day after the first hurricane I was in here.
Clouds of blood hungry mosqitoes fighting for food and mating.

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Reply #49)

Thu Sep 1, 2016, 08:23 PM

50. Watch the mosquitoes

You don't need Zika. Hermine is getting stronger

Latest
8:00 PM EDT Thu Sep 1
Location: 29.1N 84.8W
Moving: NNE at 14 mph
Min pressure: 983 mb
Max sustained: 80 mph

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Response to FLPanhandle (Reply #2)

Thu Sep 1, 2016, 05:56 PM

47. Wind is just now starting to kick.

I'm at St Joe Peninsula.

It looks like my friends on the eastern side of the cape are already taking a beating.

Are you around Keaton Beach?

edited to say: Just read your post downthread...you must be darn close to me!

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Response to malaise (Original post)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 03:27 PM

3. Euro model says weekend washout for DC and vicinity.

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Response to malaise (Original post)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 03:28 PM

4. Sun is shining brightly in West Palm...n/t

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Response to monmouth4 (Reply #4)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 03:59 PM

6. Hi! My son lives in Lantana

Just moved there in March and we visited (from PA, my 1st time in FL) in May. Great place, loved the beach at Boynton Beach.

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Response to Freddie (Reply #6)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 05:46 PM

24. It's a great area. I came down from Jersey in '89 and never looked back..n/t

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Response to malaise (Original post)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 03:39 PM

5. Not a good week for that vacation in Florida

or on the outer banks of NC, either. Likely it will be just wet and windy and not particularly dangerous. However, wet means very, very wet.

Keep your eyes peeled for the one near the Cape Verde Islands, it's lost much of its rain over cooler water, but you can still see the upper level circulation. With luck, it will follow Gaston out to sea but you can't always count on luck.

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Response to Warpy (Reply #5)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 04:22 PM

7. Yeah, many tourist spots will lose millions this weekend

Even though South Florida and the Orlando area will not have any serious weather from this - unless Orlando gets some rain bands - flights could be affected and the news will get many to cancel their plans.

Here in Tallahassee, I'm hunkering down for the weekend. My husband is driving to Atlanta in the morning for DragonCon but he will be in front of the worst of it. I stopped and bought a loaf of bread on the way home today and the grocery was starting to get crazy - bread aisle was almost empty and the stock boys were bringing out bottled water as fast as they could - the carts were emptying before they could get the water on the shelves!

We've got flash flood warnings and tropical storm warnings. Hermine probably won't make it to hurricane strength and if it does, it will be a weak cat 1. With us being much closer to the Georgia line than to the coast, I'm not too worried. We may lose power if a tree goes down, but I can survive a few hours with no electricity.

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Response to csziggy (Reply #7)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 04:30 PM

8. We had a non-weather related power outage for four plus hours

on Saturday evening. We treated it as preparation for a hurricane power cut. You know the worst part - the heat.

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Response to malaise (Reply #8)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 04:38 PM

9. Yes - but for an event last spring I bought a battery powered fan

It uses the same 18 volt batteries our hand tools do so we already had those. And it moves an amazing amount of air and makes even hot humidity bearable.

A month or so ago our power went out when a small intense thunderstorm went through with a lot of heavy down drafts. A couple of big trees went down on the lines on the rural highway out to our place. The power was off for almost six hours starting in the middle of the afternoon when it was hottest.

I set that little fan up and it kept it bearable until they got the electricity back on.

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Response to csziggy (Reply #9)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 04:46 PM

10. I'll check that out

Thanks

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Response to malaise (Reply #10)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 04:53 PM

11. The fan is made by Ryobi and is part of their One+ series

When we moved into the new house our old battery powered tools gave out during the installation of all the odds and ends. I bought a set of the Ryobi tools which we have added to over the years - circular saw, drill, flash/work light, chain saw, reciprocating saw, weed whacker and the fan.

The original batteries gave up and we've replaced them. So having another device that uses the same batteries works out OK - the next thing I will buy is their lantern that uses the 18 volt batteries but not for this storm.

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Response to csziggy (Reply #11)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 04:57 PM

13. Sounds like a good investment

Thanks - I'll check it out.

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Response to csziggy (Reply #9)

Thu Sep 1, 2016, 05:25 PM

43. Aha.......thanks for mentioning that....

gonna check it out.

We have some great battery powered lights and lots of batteries for them, I did not realize fans were available.
About how long do yours run on a charge??

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Response to dixiegrrrrl (Reply #43)

Thu Sep 1, 2016, 05:31 PM

44. It ran for hours - maybe four to six? on the small battery I use for small tasks.

The reviews said most of the people got about three hours per battery if I remember correctly. That reminds me - I should switch the batteries on the charger to make sure they are all fully charged!

It's not a problem how long one battery would last, we have about four or five batteries that were acquired with various devices. The fan does NOT come with a battery though, so plan on spending money for a battery and a charger if you don't already have any. Fan was about $40; the last pair of batteries with a new charger we got was about $100.

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Response to malaise (Original post)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 04:56 PM

12. I've got my supplies here in Jacksonville

A quarter of very strong Indica.
A bunch of Arizona Mango Teas
Chef Boyardee Mini Ravioli

Where's my bic lighter?
Oh gawd, the humanity...
Wait.
Found it!

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Response to NightWatcher (Reply #12)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 05:02 PM

14. Do you have a phone charger

for your car?


I even got a coffee percolator for the car.

The lighter is boss

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Response to malaise (Reply #14)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 05:07 PM

15. I have more cables and electronics in my car than a RadioShack

All gassed up too. (The car, not me)

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Response to NightWatcher (Reply #15)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 05:10 PM

16. You're on a roll

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Response to malaise (Original post)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 05:14 PM

17. And things are dicey in Hawaii

Wed August 31, 2016

Hurricane Madeline

The Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu is tracking Hurricane Madeline, now located about 200 miles east of the Big Island of Hawaii. The powerful storm that was a Category 4 is now packing winds of 90 mph, a Category 1, as it makes its close approach to the Big Island.

The official track predicts the center of Madeline will pass just south of Hawaii, although some models still expect a landfall late Wednesday on the Big Island. Whether the storm makes landfall or not, hurricane-force winds and very heavy rainfall are likely. Therefore, the Central Pacific Hurricane Center has issued a hurricane warning for the Big Island, and a tropical storm watch for the islands of Maui, Molokai and Lanai. Given the elevated terrain of the islands, the rainfall -- which could total 12 inches -- may cause dangerous mudslides and flash flooding.



Hurricane Lester

Hawaii residents cannot let their guard down after Madeline moves through, however, as Hurricane Lester is fast on its heels. Lester, also a Category 3 storm, is expected to approach the Hawaiian islands this weekend. The forecast currently calls for Lester to miss the islands directly, pushing just to the north, but the entire island chain is still in the forecast "cone of uncertainty."

http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/30/weather/tropical-storms-hurricanes-carolina-hawaii/

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Response to Brother Buzz (Reply #17)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 05:18 PM

19. That's just freaking unbelievable

Two on either side - clearly a first.

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Response to malaise (Reply #19)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 06:59 PM

26. Last year, when El Nino had the Pacific at its hottest

you could see a line of storms across the ocean like a string of pearls, changing names a few times as they went across and turned from hurricanes into typhoons. I vaguely remember posting the wind map showing 4 or 5 of them in a line.

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Response to Warpy (Reply #26)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 07:05 PM

28. I remember that well

but I've never seen two heading for the big island. In fact Hawaii hurricanes are rare

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Response to Warpy (Reply #26)

Thu Sep 1, 2016, 04:33 PM

41. I remember that also. Awesome.

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Response to yallerdawg (Reply #18)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 05:20 PM

20. Yep

water is the issue here

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Response to malaise (Reply #20)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 05:26 PM

21. After what happened around Baton Rouge...

tides and rainfall together can be an unexpected extreme weather event.

With the oceans rising, the rain has nowhere to go.

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Response to yallerdawg (Reply #21)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 05:51 PM

25. That's why I start these threads even when they aren't hurricanes

Water in storms( tropical and otherwise) can do serious damage. Thankfully full moon is gone.

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Response to malaise (Reply #20)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 05:45 PM

23. We've been kind of dry here in the Florida panhandle

Getting a soaking is not a bad thing for us.

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Response to FLPanhandle (Reply #23)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 07:04 PM

27. That's always key

We want rain but we don't want floods. Truth is that without storms we'd never get enough water. The problem is that these days the storms are more intense and the systems seem to get bigger.

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Response to malaise (Reply #27)

Thu Sep 1, 2016, 05:21 AM

31. They are also slowing over areas.

This has been a pattern for a while. You get weak steering currents and they sit.
The other problem is that this type of rain may not help drought. It runs off too fast and floods down to the oceans. It doesn't saturate the groundwater as much as it needs to.

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Response to Are_grits_groceries (Reply #31)

Thu Sep 1, 2016, 06:20 AM

32. Yes indeed

This system has been around for weeks - stay safe sis

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Response to FLPanhandle (Reply #23)

Thu Sep 1, 2016, 05:37 PM

46. Here in Tallahassee I expect some road flooding

We've been getting consistent rain after a couple of wet summers. The lakes and ponds we pass regularly are all pretty full. One road which was getting flooded was closed last year so they could install new drainage pipes to direct water from a perched swamp into the stream that drains the swamp on the other side of the road. Last time I went that way the water in the perched swamp was already up to within 6" of the road level and the swamp on the other side was not any lower.

I expect by Sunday there will be spots with water running over the roads on the way to town. I'm not worried - I'm on a 200' above sea level hill, well away from the ocean and don't have to drive anywhere until next Thursday, if then.

On the other hand, my husband left to go to DragonCon this morning, ahead of the storm. He'll drive back Monday and probably miss the whole thing...

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Response to malaise (Original post)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 05:43 PM

22. Here it comes!

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Response to malaise (Original post)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 11:16 PM

29. Now expected to strengthen into hurricane

https://mobile.twitter.com/NWSTallahassee/status/771182207968825344?p=v


TS Hermine is now expected to intensify into a hurricane before making landfall along the FL Big Bend. pic.twitter.com/vrxW0aCk7U

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Response to suffragette (Reply #29)

Thu Sep 1, 2016, 06:42 AM

34. Hurricane warnings up

Should be a Cat 1 - water is the real issue here. The good news is that Hermine is now moving at 12mph.

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Response to malaise (Original post)

Thu Sep 1, 2016, 01:10 AM

30. Coming straight for me.

Moonpie and Tater are not amused!

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Response to Are_grits_groceries (Reply #30)

Thu Sep 1, 2016, 06:21 AM

33. Hopefully it weakens over land

because it is getting stronger

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Response to Are_grits_groceries (Reply #30)

Thu Sep 1, 2016, 08:21 AM

35. Now up to 65mph

Likely to be a Cat 1 by 11.00am

http://ecdcrew.com/showStormDetail.php?s=1616

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Response to malaise (Original post)

Thu Sep 1, 2016, 03:07 PM

36. Now a hurricane

1:55 PM CDT Thu Sep 1
Location: 28.1N 85.4W
Moving: NNE at 14 mph
Min pressure: 988 mb
Max sustained: 75 mph

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Response to malaise (Original post)

Thu Sep 1, 2016, 03:32 PM

37. It's going to the East of me

What am I to do with all this alcohol and food?

I prepared for the hurricane party a little too soon.

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Response to FLPanhandle (Reply #37)

Thu Sep 1, 2016, 03:37 PM

39. Peak season has just really begun

Hold on to your party stuff

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Response to malaise (Original post)

Thu Sep 1, 2016, 03:35 PM

38. I ain't skeert

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Response to Blue_Tires (Reply #38)

Thu Sep 1, 2016, 03:38 PM

40. Hehehhehee - water, trees falling and power outages should

be the main problems here.

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Response to malaise (Original post)

Thu Sep 1, 2016, 09:07 PM

51. My sis is in Tallahassee.

She works for the State of Florida and they were all sent home around 10:00 a.m. to prepare. She lives way out in the country between Tallahassee and Monticello. They have a lot of land and a pond, complete with alligators, that tends to overflow. Even though they live inland, looks like they will take quite a hit. I do worry about flooding and tornadoes!

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