If I were in Florida, GOM or the Carolinas, I'd be paying attention to 99L

[malaise]

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A tropical wave located about 400 miles east-southeast of the
Leeward Islands is producing widespread cloudiness and
thunderstorms. Conditions are marginally conducive for gradual
development while the disturbance moves west-northwestward to
westward at 15 to 20 mph. Environmental conditions are expected to
become more conducive for a tropical depression to form by late this
week when the system is forecast to move near Hispaniola and Puerto
Rico, and the southeastern and central Bahamas. An Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system
later this morning. Interests in the central and northern Lesser
Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the
progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent



Gaston will be a fish hurricane - watch this one

[Lochloosa]

1. Definitely on my radar...

pun intended...

[malaise]

3. Good

It's that Katrina time of year

[malaise]

28. Looks like the GOM folks have more worries than you

[Lochloosa]

29. That's not good. The Gulf is HOT!

[Lochloosa]

30. That's a Katrina/Andrew path...

[malaise]

31. Will have to slow down big time to become a Katrina or Andrew

That said Florida will get lots of rain - stay safe

[MynameisBlarney]

2. I'm in the Upper Keys.

This time of year most everyone here is keeping an eye on this.

[malaise]

16. This is looking like Florida and GOM

scary similarities with Katrina including timing. This time it may be stronger for Florida.

Stay safe

[MynameisBlarney]

19. Thanks.

Definitely keeping an eye on the Atlantic right now.

[BumRushDaShow]

4. I felt you monitoring this!

[malaise]

5. Hehehehhe

I don't have a choice - if we're in their sights, they will reach us before they reach mainland USA

[BumRushDaShow]

10. When we were in the Bahamas last summer around this time of year

we had to dodge Tropical Storm Erika!

[malaise]

11. We avoid traveling mid-August to the end of September

Not worth the worry

[BumRushDaShow]

13. Yup

We usually try to plan trips from May - early July but the schedules didn't work out last year.

[bullsnarfle]

6. I'm in North FL.

We tend to get them through the back door (after they come up through the Gulf). They can still be awfully mean though. I remember going days without power after one, and another one took out my biggest oak, which barely missed taking out the house.

Yep, I'll be watching.

[Eleanors38]

22. Yes. Reminds me of that old f----- that tore up Cedar Key 60 some odd yrs ago.

But the three witches of 2004 kept our families tied down for days, one after the other. My older brother's tale from where his family lives on eastern shore of Lake Santa Fe:

We were hunkered down with lantern lights when we heard a multi-engine prop plane swoop low over the house. It went away, but came back again. We thought it was an old Neptune bomber hurricane plane out of NASJAX that was in trouble, and was looking for a place to ditch in Santa Fe. So I ran outside in the middle of the storm to see if I could do something. As I was looking up into the sky, I noticed my roof fluttering, making a sound like those big "engines." Went back inside to wait it out.

[malaise]

33. Looks like Cedar Key took a hard hit again

Hope you are OK

[Eleanors38]

34. Thank you for your concern. My folks live in NC Florida; I am in Texas.

[FLPanhandle]

7. Fall activities in Florida...

Watching college football and tropical weather updates.

[Lochloosa]

8. GO 'NOLES

[NightWatcher]

26. My two favorite teams are UGA and whoever is playing the gators

[malaise]

9. Well you had a long break

Last edited Tue Aug 23, 2016, 10:16 AM - Edit history (1)

Long may it continue

[malaise]

23. This will be TS Hermine on the next update

Winds are 45MPH already

https://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=3396

I think this wiil be more of a rain event than anything else unless it stalls in the GOM ad then all bets are off

[malaise]

27. The good news re the system is that

it's currently moving at 21mph - if it doesn't slow down it will not have time to strengthen.

[RockaFowler]

12. Really paying attention to this one

Look we haven't been hit by a storm in 10 plus years. I hate to say Florida is due, but I think we are due for a storm!

[malaise]

14. My BIL said the same thing

he added that he's ten years older and can't handle another hurricane

[malaise]

15. Kick

pay attention

[mnhtnbb]

17. I'm watching this year here in NC.

[malaise]

18. This one won't be your problem

Louisiana can't take another drop of water

[mnhtnbb]

20. Fortunately.

I was quite surprised when I was researching historical hurricane activity several years ago to discover
that NC ranked right at the top for hurricane hits over time.

http://www.hurricanecity.com/hurricanehits.htm

and

http://www.hurricanecity.com/rank.htm

[malaise]

21. Indeed you've had more than your fair share

Haiti is up there as well

[snooper2]

24. Are the talking bumbleheads actually going to call it 99L?

That would be nice for a change

Tired of the stupid human names for weather systems. You know how stupid Felicia is blowing the gulf coast sounds

[malaise]

25. No it will be TS Hermine

[kydo]

32. I don't like that red track

Looks like it missed the exit and is doing a U turn to Disney that or it just wants to mess with my head, if it follows that red track. Granted it looks like it would be going over Gainesville, but if the U turn happens sooner that would not be good for O town.