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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums2016 Presidential Election Map
http://www.270towin.com/maps/I realize that to many people, Donald Trump is such a joke, such a hot mess, that there is no chance that he could win.
Yes, blue states like New York, California, Washington State, etc will likely go huge for Sec Clinton. But Trump WILL win some red states. And he only needs to squeak out enough small razor thin margins to hit 270.
He is PROBABLY going to lose. I really hope he loses. But when people start saying, "this is great, don't worry, it is in the bag", yes, I get scared.
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2016 Presidential Election Map (Original Post)
FrodosPet
May 2016
OP
dixiegrrrrl
(60,010 posts)1. Many Republicans say they will vote for Hillary.
that will push her numbers way up.
Firebrand Gary
(5,044 posts)2. It's not in the bag.
We're going to have to work our asses off no matter who their nominee was going to be. FORWARD!
Bucky
(54,094 posts)3. Trump's message of resentment will play well in those Great Lakes states, Va, NC, & Iowa
take that 191 Electoral College vote base that any Republican has and add those states (84 ECVs) and you get Trump up to 275.
Now put Florida in play, b/c no way are the PTBs that run Rick Scott's state elections gonna let a Clinton vote go thru (and frankly, Trumps's weakness among Cuban Americans can be pretty easily patched). So now Trump is at 304 EC votes. If he loses Arizona (along with CO, NM, & NV) he's down to 293... still a comfortable win.
This election is very doable for Trump. All he needs to do is suppress the minority votes in the midwest and play up to immigrant and importation fears in the burbs... and he's in.
.
YouDig
(2,280 posts)4. It's not in the bag. Hillary and her people are taking him very seriously.
She will probably beat him, but I agree, we can't take him lightly.
Wounded Bear
(58,788 posts)5. After W in 2000, I take nothing for granted...
840high
(17,196 posts)6. Especially this year. I can't
remember an election season like this one.